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To: dc-zoo
I wonder how accurate the 1 2 3 rule is? Never heard of it. But I see Galveston is withint the cone.

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The Mariners' 1-2-3 Rule, or "Danger area", is indicated by shading. The 1-2-3 Rule, commonly taught to mariners, refers to the rounded long-term NHC/TPC forecast errors of 100-200-300 nautical miles at 24-48-72 hours, respectively. The contour defining the shaded area is constructed by accounting for those errors and then broadened further to reflect the maximum 34-kt wind radii forecast at each of those times by the NHC/TPC. The NHC/TPC does not warrant that avoiding these danger areas will eliminate the risk of harm from tropical cyclones. Users operating in the vicinity of these systems are advised to continually monitor the latest Forecast/Advisories from the TPC/NHC and proceed at their own risk. The danger area will not be depicted from tropical cyclones when they become extratropical.

343 posted on 07/17/2005 1:08:39 PM PDT by No Blue States
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To: No Blue States
Buoy 42056 now 22ft waves.
344 posted on 07/17/2005 1:15:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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