When (more likely, if) there is a war from the Gaza or West Bank, it will be from the legimate State equal to Israel. And it will be a result of a failed State refusing to rein in the terror from its terror-itroy and therefore subject to the remdey of War between countreis, e.g., the rule of land warfare will be between two states and not some people without a State.
Iran and Syria will probably fall to democracy movements by the end of summer, or in conjunction with American military intervention. Lebannon and Syria, without Iranian terrorist support will cease to cause problems to Israel, as will this extend to the Pali's. Syria has the immediate choice; Iran not too distant a choice.
The question is not whether Bush was right on the Middle East, but rather Bush IS right and he will continue to force peace down the throat of militant Isam, and by extension destroy Chiraq in France as his French economy is more dependent than ever on Iran, Syria and the trade (Iraq no longer has much to do with their once major trading partner France). The question of the Old Europe, then will be settled in time for the Fall elections! Schroeder and Chiraq will be economically bankrupted at the polls and hopefully voted out of office - and then the real peace process will begin without anti-American EU BS.
The fence that will trigger the war is the dotted line it represents of the surrender of Israel to the Arab League and Terrorism. The chain link fence is nothing, I could cut my way through it in 5 minutes. But the surrender will trigger a war.