I think it would take a woman republican to defeat Hillary. I think too, that black Americans will vote in large numbers for Condi(I'm not sure if a majority will).
Hispanics and Arabs will vote against Rice. Married white women will go for Rice...singles against. A lot of white men will vote for a strong leader black or white, but we'll lose some of the racists(we don't need them any way). Christian evangelicals will go for her though in a big way!
Hillary! won't be so hard to beat. For one thing, I have to think there are a number of otherwise non-voters who would come out of the woodwork and crawl over broken glass to vote against her. America is not New York.
This married white woman is waiting with bated breath to see if Condi does, in fact, run!
Comdi in '08!!
What leads you to that conclusion?
I don't think Hilly is nearly as formidable as she has convinced herself and the talking heads. We don't need a woman on top of the ticket, necessarily, to beat Hilly, though I suppose a woman on the ticket would be a good benefit.
I have seen Hilly on tv these last few days - I think she lookes like a relic from a time past. She is more suited for strutting around in 1995 than she is strutting around in 2008. If you think Kerry was a stiff who couldn't connect with people (and to be fair he connected with over 55 million), Hilly is even his inferior.
She just looks and acts out of date - that's good enough for the people on NY who will keep on eleting her senator, but it isn't good enough for most of the so-called 'Red States.'
As I see it, most of the EVs Hilly would get would go to any dem running - the left coast, the north east, and IL/MN/MI. Actually, though its hard to say 4 years out, I don't think she would win most of the following Kerry States: Wiscomsin, Pennsylvania, and with the wind out our back maybe NJ (Hilly's act doesnt play well there I think). In any case, starting with Bush's 286 EVs, that would only add up to 332 EVs max.
The Republican Range in EVs seems to be around 271-332 or so, and thats if we get every break. I don't see that changing much in '08 - the only difference would be that the 911 terror attack will be even more of a distant menory, which hurts the GOP rather than helps it.
Any decent Republican candidate should be able to beat Hilly - she isn't the bogeyman her publicists insist she is. Frankly, I don't even think she gets the 2008 nomination.