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Baffled in Loss, Democrats Seek Road Forward
The New York Times ^ | 11/07/04 | ADAM NAGOURNEY

Posted on 11/06/2004 11:47:08 AM PST by Pokey78

WASHINGTON, Nov. 6 - The Democratic Party emerged from this week's election struggling over what it stood for, anxious about its political future, and bewildered about how to compete with a Republican Party that some Democrats say may be headed for a period of electoral dominance.

Democrats said President Bush's defeat of Senator John Kerry by three million votes left the party facing its most difficult time in at least 20 years. Some Democrats said the situation was particularly worrisome because of the absence of any compelling Democratic leader prepared to steer the party back to power or carry its banner in 2008.

"We really need to work on the question of what we are for," said Walter F. Mondale, the former vice president whose 1984 loss to Ronald Reagan was invoked by some Democrats in assessing the party's spirits now. "Unless we have a vision and the arguments to match, I don't think we're going to truly connect with the American people."

Gov. Janet Napolitano, Democrat of Arizona, where Mr. Kerry made a failed effort to grasp from the Republican column, said: "We need a fresh reassessment of how we communicate with people. How did a party that has been out of power in Washington, D.C., become tagged with the problems of Washington, D.C.? How did a party that is filled with people with values - and I am a person with values - get tagged as the party without values?"

And Senator Evan Bayh of Indiana said: "We need to be a party that stands for more than the sum of our resentments. In the heartland, where I am from, there are doubts. Too often we're caricatured as a bicoastal cultural elite that is condescending at best and contemptuous at worst to the values that Americans hold in their daily lives."

Mr. Kerry's loss has, inevitably, created recriminations about a candidate that many Democrats had always viewed as stiff, and a campaign that was often criticized as slow-moving and unfocused. Democrats said that Mr. Kerry failed to provide a compelling message, gliding on the belief that Mr. Bush would defeat himself, and that the campaign was slow in responding to attacks on his war record by Vietnam veterans.

And some Democrats, especially centrist ones, expressed concern that liberals would draw a mistaken lesson from the loss: that the Democratic Party needed to swing back to the left to energize Democratic base voters to counter the upsurge of conservative base voters on the right.

"That's not a recipe for winning," said Gov. Mark Warner of Virginia, a Democrat frequently mentioned by party officials as a possible presidential contender in 2008. "That's a recipe for disaster."

But the criticisms of Mr. Kerry were slight when compared with the scorn offered for Al Gore after he lost in 2000, or for Michael S. Dukakis after his defeat in 1988. And there was little sign, at least so far, of the kind of intra-party warring that typically grips losing political parties.

Instead, in interviews with elected officials and party leaders across the country, Democrats were much more interested in talking about the future than this past year, reflecting what Stanley Greenberg, the Democratic pollster who advised Mr. Kerry and worked for Bill Clinton in 1992, sardonically described as the unifying power President Bush has wielded over the typically fractious Democratic Party.

Several party officials said what they were most concerned about was the extent to which Republicans had succeeded in presenting the Democratic Party as out of the cultural mainstream.

"I'm not saying that Kerry did anything wrong on this, but I think that we ignored in large measure the three big cultural issues of this election: guns, abortion and gay rights, epitomized by gay marriage," said Harold M. Ickes, a former senior adviser to Bill Clinton who ran an independent political committee that sought to unseat Mr. Bush, adding. " These are very, very big issues. They really, really motivate people."

Gov. Jennifer M. Granholm, Democrat of Michigan, said that in order to be competitive with Republicans, Democrats had to have a message that was ''strong and strongly pro-work, pro-responsibility, pro-duty, pro-service, pro-child, pro-seniors."

"And not to be afraid of saying God," Ms. Granholm said. "And not to be afraid of saying that this is a country that is based upon faith.''

Party officials said they were concerned about evidence of a cultural gap between Democrats and much of the country. Gov. Bill Richardson of New Mexico said that his dealings with Mr. Kerry and his advisers had vividly demonstrated to him the problems the party faces.

"I remember being on a trip with him in New Mexico: I put a cowboy hat on Senator Kerry and someone on his staff shuddered and asked me to stop," he said. "This is I think an example of the East Coast not connecting with the West Coast and with the rest of the country."

Democrats said their immediate concern was the 2006 Senate elections, when 17 Democratic incumbents are up, compared to 15 Republicans, giving Republicans an automatic upper-hand from the outset. Several of the Democrats are in nominally Democratic states where Mr. Bush made a strong showing, like New Mexico and Minnesota. The Republicans picked up four Senate seats on Tuesday, expanding their hold on the Senate to 55-45.

The problem, some Democrats said, will be even more vexing in 2008, when there will be no incumbent president , leaving the race open on both sides. At this very early date, party officials said Hillary Rodham Clinton, the New York senator, is best positioned to win the presidential nomination. But Democrats and some Republicans said Mrs. Clinton was open to caricature by Republicans as the type of candidate that this election suggested was so damaging to the Democratic Party: a Northeastern, secular liberal.

In addition to Mrs. Clinton, two Democrats from this year - Senator John Edwards of North Carolina, who was Mr. Kerry's running mate, and Howard Dean, the former Vermont governor - are likely to move to wield influence, and perhaps run for president themselves.

Both men are burdened by their own losses this year. And in one disadvantage for Mr. Edwards, several party officials said there would likely be renewed hesitancy to run a member of Congress for the presidency, given the success the White House had undercutting Mr. Kerry's credibility with votes he had cast.

So the other Democrats mentioned as either high-profile leaders and possible presidential candidates are all governors; Mr. Warner, Mr. Richardson, Ms. Napolitano, as well as Phil Bredesen of Tennessee, Michael F. Easley of North Carolina and Rod R. Blagojevich of Illinois.

Party officials said that the results of this election underscored what had appeared to be the case in 2002. Republicans have now surpassed the Democrats in registering and turning out the voters.

Coming off this election, Democratic officials said they were concerned that the party's ideological and geographical appeal is shrinking after looking at an election night map blazing with red states. They said that while Mr. Kerry might have been technically right in saying that a presidential candidate could win without competing in the South, the party would stumble unless it broadened its support.

"We must be a 50-state national party," said the Rev. Jesse L. Jackson. "We must take on the South, reach more working poor people."

Ms. Napolitano, who in an interview over the summer expressed confidence that Mr. Kerry would win her state (he lost it by 11 percentage points), said: "You can't write off everything from Atlanta to California. You've got to find some beachheads there. Obviously it's going to be more uphill than we thought."

Some party leaders cautioned against glumness, noting that Mr. Kerry had come within 3 percentage points of defeating Mr. Bush, a wartime president. But other Democrats argued that the party had as strong a chance for victory as it could have hoped for, and argued that the loss presaged a period of Republican domination.

"We are in a tremendous amount of trouble," said Gordon Fischer, the Iowa Democratic chairman. "There are fundamental problems not only with the candidates, but also our tactics and the message: Who Democrats are and what we believe."

Most of all, though, party leaders said the main challenge now was coming up with a compelling case to make to voters, to counter what they acknowledged was the clear message Mr. Bush had made. Mr. Warner, reflecting what has been a theme of his governorship in Virginia, said Democrats should seek to present themselves as the party of fiscal responsibility by attacking Republicans for growing deficits.

Al From, the head of the Democratic Leadership Council, a group of moderate Democrats, said that the party made a mistake by spending too much time on getting out the vote and that the way to win an election was to come up with a message the way Mr. Clinton did in 1992.

"This is the second election in a row where they got a majority of the popular vote, because they did in 2002," he said. "A mobilization strategy, while important, is clearly not the most important thing. We need to persuade people who would otherwise vote for them to vote for us. And you do that with good ideas.''


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: kerrydefeat
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To: Pokey78
"We really need to work on the question of what we are for," said Walter F. Mondale

Understatement of the century. On the other hand, they are liberals so they will work on it, then come out with the same agenda of pro abortion, pro regulation, pro big government, pro anything goes society.

21 posted on 11/06/2004 12:16:04 PM PST by Casloy
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To: Pokey78
Will Democrats follow in what Nancy Pelosi announced: a continuing fight for the same old agenda.
We'll see what those 17 democratic Senators up for election in 2006 are going to vote for.
At stake: Make tax cuts permanent, partially privatize Social Security to leave something for the currently young but future retirees, simplify the tax code and start exploring for oil in Alaska, natural gas there and within the U.S. mainland
Appointing judges that uphold the constitution instead of making new laws. Tort reform to free health care from greedy lawyers and bring costs down.
Obstructionist Daschle is gone. Future senatorial filibusterers/obstructionists might have to think about writing their resignation papers in 2006. Progressive replacements are in waiting.
22 posted on 11/06/2004 12:16:12 PM PST by hermgem
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To: Cicero
And Senator Evan Bayh of Indiana said: ... "Too often we're caricatured as a bicoastal cultural elite that is condescending at best and contemptuous at worst to the values that Americans hold in their daily lives."

Not 'caricatured' but 'aptly described' .

23 posted on 11/06/2004 12:18:41 PM PST by RightField (The older you get ... the older "old" is !)
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To: hermgem

The dims got a real problem. According to exit polls, over 4.5 million homosexuals voted. This is a huge voting bloc for them to pi$$ off.


24 posted on 11/06/2004 12:21:03 PM PST by umgud (Donate monthly, don't be a Freeploader)
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To: Pokey78
And Senator Evan Bayh of Indiana said: "We need to be a party that stands for more than the sum of our resentments. In the heartland, where I am from, there are doubts. Too often we're caricatured as a bicoastal cultural elite that is condescending at best and contemptuous at worst to the values that Americans hold in their daily lives."

Bayh almost gets it, except he needs to understand that it's not a caricature... it's the truth.

25 posted on 11/06/2004 12:22:38 PM PST by bootyist-monk (<--------------------- Republican Attack Machine)
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To: Pokey78
They think coming within 3% of the President isn't so bad. Let's explain this simply, so even protesting 'Rat college students will understand.

You got only 38% of the states!! You are lucky you have 44 Senators!! If anything, over time you will lose more. How do you ever expect to get back the Senate? Without the Senate, you won't be able to accomplish much even if you do win the Presidency!

Now that we'll be able to break filibusters, the Republicans are inevitable, so you may as well lie back and enjoy it.

26 posted on 11/06/2004 12:24:29 PM PST by You Dirty Rats (31 Red States - All Your Senate Are Belong To Us!!)
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To: Pokey78
"And Senator Evan Bayh of Indiana said: "We need to be a party that stands for more than the sum of our resentments. In the heartland, where I am from, there are doubts. Too often we're caricatured as a bicoastal cultural elite that is condescending at best and contemptuous at worst to the values that Americans hold in their daily lives."

Democratic rally poster on 11/3:

Now tell me again how they are going to show that they aren't contempuous of American values in the Heartland, Senator Bayh...

27 posted on 11/06/2004 12:25:48 PM PST by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: bootyist-monk
The 'Rats caricature themselves. And, actually, the caricature isn't true. If the bicoastal cultural elite and the Euros think we're all uneducated fat stupid bumpkins from the Midwest and South, why have they adopted Michael Moore as their hero?

Above all else, they are hopelessly confused!!

28 posted on 11/06/2004 12:27:04 PM PST by You Dirty Rats (31 Red States - All Your Senate Are Belong To Us!!)
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To: Pokey78
Too often we're caricatured as a bicoastal cultural elite that is condescending at best and contemptuous at worst to the values that Americans hold in their daily lives."

Ya got that right Sanator Bayh..that's a TRUE assessment of you DemoncRATS!

29 posted on 11/06/2004 12:27:12 PM PST by timestax
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To: Southack

Just look at the supercilious tilt of that guys head. It just doesn't quite fit with the mindless hatred in his eyes. Sad evidence of how pathetic they really are.


30 posted on 11/06/2004 12:28:48 PM PST by You Dirty Rats (31 Red States - All Your Senate Are Belong To Us!!)
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To: Pokey78
5 stages of grief.

1. Denial
2. Anger
3. Bargaining
4. Depression
5. Acceptance

I'm afraid some won't make it all the way through.
31 posted on 11/06/2004 12:35:17 PM PST by Only1choice____Freedom ("Do not pray for tasks equal to your powers; pray for powers equal to your tasks,"-President Bush)
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To: Pokey78

You have to feel sorry for America's democrat party. It has been rudderless since the fall of the Soviet Union and the loss of communist guidance, direction and orders. Oh, sure, lots of the same people are still in dem leadership positions but they don't think well for themselves.


32 posted on 11/06/2004 12:38:25 PM PST by Tacis (Kerry - You Can't Make A Silk Purse Out Of A Lazy, Lying, Elitist Scumbag!)
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To: Pokey78
How did a party that is filled with people with values - and I am a person with values - get tagged as the party without values?

Bwwaaahahahahahahaha...talk about clueless. Sure, yep, people filled with values, like Michael Moore, Barbara Streisand, Ben Afleck, Roseanne Barr, Rosie O'Donnell, P.Diddy, and all the rest of the entertainment industry libertines. And how about all those Leftist hate-America freaks who love to march in the streets? Oh, and the DEMOCRAT Mayor of San Francisco totally ignoring the law of the state and "marrying" homosexuals.

Then there's the Vermont and Massachuetts supreme courts which ORDERED THEIR STATE LEGISLATURES to come up with homosexual marriage schemes. And those state legislatures complied instead of telling the courts to take a flying leap, which would have been the proper thing to do. Earth to Dem Leftists: the legislature is a separate branch of government which does not have to take orders from the judicial branch.

The list of where the Left/Dems are out of touch with this country is so long that it would take hours to cover it all, let alone correct. So I hope they all do move to Canada or France or New Zealand. Good riddance to bad rubbish.

33 posted on 11/06/2004 12:40:32 PM PST by Wolfstar (Yippeeeee!!!! A great election victory AND a new puppy in the White House. Life is good.)
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To: calex59
...valuing dead babies...

Leftist Dems also value dead voters. They are the party of the dead.

34 posted on 11/06/2004 12:44:22 PM PST by Wolfstar (Yippeeeee!!!! A great election victory AND a new puppy in the White House. Life is good.)
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To: Pokey78
Gov. Jennifer M. Granholm, Democrat of Michigan, said that in order to be competitive with Republicans, Democrats had to have a message that was ''strong and strongly pro-work, pro-responsibility, pro-duty, pro-service, pro-child, pro-seniors."

Anything but pro-life, right, Granholm?

35 posted on 11/06/2004 12:44:29 PM PST by NYpeanut (gulping for air, I started crying and yelling at him, "Why did you lie to me?")
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To: Pokey78

memo to Kerry, Begala, Micheal Moore, and any other liberals, yes you are liberals, even you John Kerry:

socialism is NOT what Americans mean when we talk about values. Figure this out, and you'll have something.


36 posted on 11/06/2004 12:46:37 PM PST by votelife (Arlen Specter needs to be removed from the Judiciary Committee!)
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To: votelife

It's a whole lot of fun observing how clueless the Left is.


37 posted on 11/06/2004 12:47:58 PM PST by blitzgig
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To: Southack

Hi Southack. That's quite a photo. I think I'll print it in color and send it to the entire California congressional delegation, along with Bayh's quote.


38 posted on 11/06/2004 12:50:12 PM PST by Wolfstar (Yippeeeee!!!! A great election victory AND a new puppy in the White House. Life is good.)
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To: calex59

in a world Dem values equal socialism. They want the voters to ignore the elephant in the room of partial birth abortion.


39 posted on 11/06/2004 12:51:00 PM PST by votelife (Arlen Specter needs to be removed from the Judiciary Committee!)
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To: Pokey78
All they have to do is Fire Terry McAuliffe, give the job to an adult like Zell Miller, and in 6 to 8 years the Dems will have a strong, vibrant party again.

"Duh"

40 posted on 11/06/2004 12:52:41 PM PST by Psycho_Bunny (“I know a great deal about the Middle East because I’ve been raising Arabian horses" Patrick Swazey)
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