Thanks for posting the LV results with the correct headline and not the BS 49-49 headline from Aaron Brown.
Numbers posted elsewhere don't agree with link above.
(passing out Xanex and Oxycontin all around)
is it 49-47 or 49-49 -- because there website says 49-49 but the text says 49-47
This is a bit better than previous posting, but I am still going to stroke out before this is over.
Cnn/Gallup. where is the Gallup poll? The two are not the same thing.
We will know Tuesday how accurate these polls have been.
I personally think Republicans are being undersampled by at least 5%.
If you allocate the remaining undecideds to Kerry its a tie. If you allocate them to Bush, he gets 51%. Right now he has a 2 point lead among likely voters. The margin's close enough to allow the Democrats all sorts of cheating opportunities. If that stands, we're probably looking at a President Kerry in 2005.
Who is surprised? The MSM has wanted this all along. It won't be close come Tuesday and the MSM will wonder what went wrong? The passion for truth and righteousness in this country will carry the day. Pray, fast, vote and volunteer and watch Tuesday as W's victory will be clear.
Oh yea...BTW, 52-47 w/k...sKerry has never polled over 47 and he won't after Tuesday.
an all weekend poll which show Bush ahead with Likely voters with a 51 approval rating. Not what I was hoping for but it could be worse
If we give Bush Penn. and Wisconsin in addition NM and IA, Bush wins with 270 to Kerry's 268. Wooo. That's losing Ohio and Florida.
http://www.nytimes.com/packages/html/politics/2004_ELECTIONGUIDE_GRAPHIC/index_CALCULATOR.html
We all know that's BS though. As stated ad nauseaum, weekend polls are the most unreliable. We all know that on Friday, people are at football games or preparing to enjoy the night life. On Saturday, they are either sleeping during the day, enjoying a day outdoors, or shopping. On Sunday, people are either sleeping, at Church, or enjoying the day out of the house.
Unfortunately these are the last polls.
Just like some wit stated the other night; "The MSM; Rather, Jennings, Brokaw, Brown, Colmes, Mathews, etc with tears in their eyes, will be asking Americans to stay calm until the lawyers get it sorted out."
IMHO, The Fat Lady can start warming up........Bush in a landslide, results by 1100PM. Finally a good nights sleep.
WISCONSIN
Zogby Kerry +8
Gallup Bush +7
I ask because it seems they were wildly off-base in 2002, especially Zogby. If Gallup were accurate, I'll have to take this as being pretty accurate, too...or at least as close to accurate as they can be. But they are bucking so many trends in the state-by states.
The people freaking out don't seem to see that even in this wonky set-up Bush wins.
Why is RCP posting the "allocated" 49/49 numbers?
Perhaps the most significant shift in the poll was in Florida, where the same survey indicated Bush ahead by 8 points among likely voters last week, though other state polls indicated a much tighter race.
Not good news. Kerry's social security lies are working. I wish Bush would come right out and call it that. I just don't get his campaign tactics. I'll still say that even if he wins.