Posted on 10/31/2004 5:15:03 PM PST by Cableguy
Here is the link:
Move the cursor over the triangle in the chart and you will see.
The full results haven't been posted yet.
Do some homework before you make a fool out of yourself. Move the cursor over the triangles in the chart and you will see. Now Gallup and CNN have posted the numbers on their websites as well.
THIS IS JOKE: GO TO HIS LINK- NO SUCH DATA!!!!!!
LATEST SNAPSHOT
% GEORGE W. BUSH 49
% JOHN KERRY 49
% RALPH NADER 1
From the CNN site: A separate Gallup poll of likely voters indicated a similar split nationwide, with 49 percent choosing Bush and 47 percent taking Kerry.
I didn't get it backwards. USA Today must have screwed it up.
OCT22-24 OLD
OCT22-24 OLD
OCT22-24 OLD
Tradesports.com where people risk their money and has traditionally been much more accurate then the polls, has Bush at 55 and Kerry at 45. A monumental TEN POINT difference.
What's up?
Shoot this poll is ancient history!
No, the results are for 10/29-31.
go to cnn.com bush leads by two rv and lv tie is adjusted for undecided acording to 2000 stats
Nevertheless, it's still a weekend sampling, which always gives Kerry a better showing.
Frankly, I think the pollsters in general suck this year (Gallup included). Don't doubt that there isn't pressure from certain people to keep the numbers in a "dead heat", look what the Moveon jerks did to Gallup when they had Bush up too much at one point.
Also, the article says that it was actually Bush 49-47 before they allocated the undecideds based on previous voting behavior data. This resulted in the 49-49 tie, i.e. they gave Kerry 2 to 1 undecideds.
Why didn't Gallup do a tracking poll like they did in 2000 I wonder? There were way more Gallup polls down the final several weeks than we have seen this time.
Remember also that Gallup had Kerry ahead by 1 sometime in the last several weeks too, so I don't know that they are that much better than anyone at this point.
Bottom line is that I would still rather be in Bush's position at this point.
It's a WEEK OLD PEOPLE!!!
Using voting behavior data from previous elections, the Gallup organization attempted to estimate how the undecideds would vote Tuesday.
The result was a tie of 49 percent each for Bush and Kerry, with 1 percent for Nader and 1 percent for other candidates.
This is NOT an estimate of the vote margin. It is the odds given for a Bush Win/Loss.
You are scared. That is good.
yes, I agree with the weekend polling hazard that favors democrats, but this is just too much. People see these polls, and wonder why they are suddenly all tied. I have no faith in any of these polls during THIS presidential race. I do not believe we are getting a fair shake as far as sampling is concerned. Furthermore, how the hell do you get from being up 8 in florida to being down 4? And up in Pennsylvania? It really is Halloween, methinks. This is just making News for the MSM to report on.
No, it is not.
It's a typo. If you mouse over the last triangle on the chart it gives the date that matches Gallups dates. It's current.
exactly. There are too many polls being conducted to drive news cycles. Too many polls with crazy results that, of course,call for MORE POLLS and more money for the pollsters.
That might be, but is should be about basically the same figure.
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