It's the AP/WashPost poll...that's what the problem is, plus it is the weekend!
This is the ABC/WA PO poll..AP/IPSOS is different.
This is the ABC/WA PO poll..AP/IPSOS is different.
Oddly though ABC and WAPo use the same study, ABC has another methodology for "likely voters"..thus
Poll: Bush-Kerry Race Closing ClosePresident Bush takes 49-48 percent edge into final weekend, ABC News tracking poll finds.
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Which political party do these people belong to? (Rhetorical question!)
Plus it's Halloween weekend (subtract everyone who's going Trick-Or-Treating with the kids or who is attending a Halloween party.)
The IEM vote share market last had George Bush futures at 52.4% asked, which is actually better than my estimate (51.7%) of the actual vote!