Posted on 10/30/2004 3:24:48 AM PDT by narses
Battleground Fall Track (Week 7) FINAL ______________________________________________________________________________ STUDY #9936 THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC. and LAKE SNELL PERRY N = 250 per day of registered “likely” voters Field Dates: October 25 –28, 2004 Hello, I’m _______________ of The Tarrance Group, a national survey research firm. We’re talking to people long distance today about public leaders and issues facing us all. May I please speak with the youngest male in the household who is registered to vote in this state? A. Are you registered to vote in this state? IF “NO”, ASK: Is there someone else at home who is registered to vote in this state? (IF “YES,” THEN ASK: MAY I SPEAK WITH HIM/HER?) Yes (CONTINUE) No (THANK AND TERMINATE) Now, thinking ahead to the elections that will be held this November -- B. What is the likelihood of your voting in this upcoming election -- are you extremely likely, very likely, somewhat likely, or not very likely at all to vote? Extremely likely...........................................82% (CONTINUE) Very likely ....................................................17% Somewhat likely ...........................................1% (THANK AND TERMINATE) Not very likely UNSURE (DNR) C. Are you, or is anyone in your household, employed with an advertising agency, newspaper, television or radio station, or political campaign? Yes (THANK AND TERMINATE) No (CONTINUE) * = Less than .5%
(Excerpt) Read more at tarrance.com ...
You're welcome. The data actually looks solid to me. Look at the breakdown of religions at the end, look at the age breakdown. It is America.
I know, to see all their excuses come pooring out after going to all lengths to give the impression Kerry was well on his to victory. Delusional!
Darn. OK, I quit. Will John Edwards get me my flu shot soon?
One I don't watch the trend on is Zogby...!..Otherwise I do like to see the trend.
Prepare to be healed!...;)
Whew. Will the results be in time to save me?
Edwards promised..
And we know lawyers never lie.
I found this to be interesting:
D3. When thinking about politics and government, do you consider yourself to be...
(READ LIST, ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP)
Very conservative.......................................................18%
Somewhat conservative..............................................40%
MODERATE (DNR) ....................................................3%
Somewhat liberal.........................................................26%
Very liberal....................................................................7%
UNSURE/DK (DNR) ...................................................6%
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1262406/posts
Movables in today's results favor Bush by 52-33 percent, a change from 46-36 percent in Kerry's favor as of Sunday."
This is the ABC poll...and this fact is encouraging.
Kewl. Burnt French Toast Tuesday?
58%! Guess what will happen Tuesday? :)
Heating up the broiler..;)
That's 44% of those who already specified a Christian religious affiliation (i.e., discounts Jews, atheists, etc.). It's more like 35% of the total pool.
This is the one that really galls me. I understand the why, but by default, Kerry gets a pass here!!! Kerry gets 51% and Senators don't even create jobs. Nothing in this guys record suggests he's ever successfully run a kool-aid stand.....well, ok, bad analogy. How about car wash? He just DOES NOT deserve his 'supposed' lead in job creation.
Wait just a minute, please. This poll is heavy with 45-64 year olds and retirees. It's good for that age group, as we are the group second most likely to vote. But I think we need to take it with a grain of salt.
It galls me to no end that people seem to think that the President can create jobs.
All a President can do is set the stage through policy so industries and businesses can expand, which means more jobs available. Only rising productivity can dampen job creaation in a growing economy. Declining profits quicken the pace of job shedding.
The only jobs that a President can directly create are Presidential Appointmentns or creation of a new Government agency, office, cabinet department or a expanded enlistment for the armed forces.
George W. Bush has done much to set the stage for job creation the past two years. I think that the numbers will tell the tale after the first of the year. It doesn't happen overnight.
I see the President is up 5 in this poll, 5 in fox. Yesterday it was 3 at ABC. Of course Zogby has Kerry up today. I was giving Zogby the benefit of the doubt until the 10 point swing in Michigan this week, and Kerry up in Colorado.
So based on the other polls, yesterdays' Pentagon Briefing, the Osama tape, the President traveling to NH and Ohio with the Terminator, I'm thinking the President is up by 5 nationally. As for the battleground states, Rush said yesterday that the President was up in 4, down in two tied in two others. According to Karl Rove. I think what happened yesterday gives momentum to the President. Jim
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