Electoral Vote is not accurate because it uses the latest poll for each state, which in many cases is some University poll. So if Gallup has Bush up by 8 in Florida and the next day Janet Reno University has Kerry up by 2, he gives the state to Kerry.
Go to RealClearPolitics.com - this site averages all of the polls, and has Bush up in the EV count.
Thank-You very much!