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To: Mo1
By next weekend the Pollsters will be forced to publish the real numbers, and those numbers are gonna show a landslide victory for George W. Bush.

When this happens, the democrats are gonna be looking for a scapegoat, and the long knives will brought out and it's gonna get ugly behind closed doors. Daschle will be voted out and the Democrats will be forced to accept the Agenda this President will have after this win

99 posted on 10/21/2004 7:24:51 PM PDT by MJY1288
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To: MJY1288

So my mother-in-law's prediction that Kerry will win because people don't want a Republican House and the Senate as well as the President is not true? I don't think most people think ahead that far--HAHA>

I feel a peace about the election . . .no matter how it goes, it will be God's will. WHat I fear the most is a big battle like there was in 2000.

When the Pres. wins, my husb. and I are going to get Bush/Cheney shirts to wear to my cousin's wedding that weekend--a bunch of the family up there is really liberal--but my grandparents are definitely conservative . . . should lead to interesting conversation.

Do you think it will be decided and "official" Nov. 2???


102 posted on 10/21/2004 7:30:19 PM PDT by homemom
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To: MJY1288; All

"By next weekend the Pollsters will be forced to publish the real numbers, and those numbers are gonna show a landslide victory for George W. Bush."


Hugh Hewitt (and I) second your conclusion:
The RealClearPolitics' "average" of Bush's lead in the polls, which has gained wide currency in this year of wild swings, is at 3 points, but as the Harris Survey folks admitted yesterday, the turnout models drive the polls, and these models are guesses built upon voting data from before 9/11 which may be further corrupted by the resistance of subgroups to accurate sampling. I send you back to KerrySpot's collection of data from 2002 races in which the polls were not just wrong, but way wrong. In three Senate races in 2002 --in Minnesota, New Hampshire and Colorado, all states figuring heavily in this year's presidential contest-- pollsters, including Zogby, underestimated the Republican vote by 9, 8, and 8 points respectively. Try adding that correction to the current polling on a state-by-state basis.
http://hughhewitt.com/

For additional insight, read the following commentary by Michael Barone -- EXCELLENT!
http://www.usnews.com/usnews/opinion/baroneweb/mb_041020.htm

I also recommend that you read the article posted at the following thread:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1252882/posts


109 posted on 10/21/2004 7:40:21 PM PDT by DrDeb
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To: MJY1288
When this happens, the democrats are gonna be looking for a scapegoat, and the long knives will brought out and it's gonna get ugly behind closed doors. Daschle will be voted out and the Democrats will be forced to accept the Agenda this President will have after this win

I've been avoiding saying what I really think because I'm afraid of jinxing it .. but remember in 2002 and Terry screaming about taking Jeb down and then having to eat his words???

I am sooooooooooooooo hoping that Kerry and the DNC are totally humiliated on Nov 2

116 posted on 10/21/2004 7:46:25 PM PDT by Mo1 (This Sept 10th attitude is no way to protect our country)
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To: MJY1288

Gotta be careful -- we don't want people to assume they can stay home and NOT vote. Everything I'm seeing is the Dems are going door-to-door and calling constantly so they aren't going to stop until November 1 at midnight (if then).


156 posted on 10/21/2004 11:29:02 PM PDT by Arizona Carolyn
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