I agree the CINO's will not hurt Kerry's chances in New Jersey, but it could definitely hurt him in the Upper Midwest, especially in Wisconsin where his "Lambert" Field remark did not help him either. Outside of the shrinking city of Milwaukee and the SF of the Midwest in Madison, the rest of the state and Milwaukee suburbs are Bush country.
President Bush and John Kerry: On the Issues Important to Catholics
"Seismic" Catholic Shift to Bush [Insight ]
Analyst cites abortion stance as some Catholic voters shift to Bush