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Presidential Tracking Poll: Bush-Kerry [Rasmussen has Bush only +3 among men]
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/7/04 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/07/2004 10:44:38 AM PDT by MarlboroRed

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This is silly.

Bush will carry men by at least 10 points, and lose women by about 5.

1 posted on 10/07/2004 10:44:39 AM PDT by MarlboroRed
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To: MarlboroRed

NOT, I don't believe any of these polls, lets see what happens Nov 2nd


2 posted on 10/07/2004 10:45:56 AM PDT by FesterUSMC (If you don't have the hammer you are going to be the anvil, and I would rather be the hammer!)
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To: MarlboroRed

Rasmussen had Bush/Gore at 40/48 last time. Until he proves himself, his work is still questionable.


3 posted on 10/07/2004 10:48:42 AM PDT by Cableguy
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To: MarlboroRed
Never try and poll men during the NLCS, ALCS, WS, NCAA anything, Super Bowl, NBA playoffs, NHL playoffs, etc, etc.
4 posted on 10/07/2004 10:49:44 AM PDT by gov_bean_ counter
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To: MarlboroRed

You've got to be kidding. I know Bush will win the men's vote by 10-12%. Actually, this observant catch makes me feel better about Bush's support. I'm so glad freepers have a mind of their own.


5 posted on 10/07/2004 10:54:45 AM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: MarlboroRed
Keep all your dreams going. The election is in trouble at the moment. Bush is on the verge of losing. And if it happens I put the blame on republican defensiveness. Bush was on the stage with an unreformed lying left wing anti-defense tax and spend kook, in fact the most far left member of the U.S. Senate. And the most Bush said was "I respect his service in the Senate, I don't know if I respect the record." Thanks for playing Gentleman Jim with my family's security.

The most telling comment in this election was from the many republuicans who said of Zell Miller's speech: "We couldn't have said it as republicans!" That says it all.

6 posted on 10/07/2004 10:56:09 AM PDT by Williams
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To: MarlboroRed

The survey was taken in San Francisco.


7 posted on 10/07/2004 10:57:43 AM PDT by Prost1 (To trust John Kerry is to hate America!)
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To: Cableguy

All polls are questionable and have much higher MOE than advertized. Attach a +/-10% to every poll and take it with a bag of salt.


8 posted on 10/07/2004 10:58:43 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: MarlboroRed

Let's do ourselves a favor and just agree to ignore Rasmussen. His poll is lousy. So is Survey USA's polling. The reason for this is that they are done by an automated caller. Respondents do not speak to a real person. This skews results because people are more inclined to hang up. More hang ups mean that the ultimate sample that they take is not respresentative of the national public.

A common sense test of this hypothesis that something smells fishy with Rasmussen can be seen by the fact that his is the only poll whose results have been consistently within the margin of error. In other words, Bush and Kerry each have always ranged from about 44 to 50. In other words, the difference between any given Rasmussen poll with any other given Rasmussen poll can be explained entirely by statistical differences. Rasmussen's poll indicates that there has been no statistically noticeable movement in the electorate in nearly nine months. His is the only poll where this is the case. Anybody believe that?


9 posted on 10/07/2004 11:06:12 AM PDT by jaycost (http://jaycost.blogspot.com)
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To: FesterUSMC
I remember in the 2002 Senate elections where most pollsters and pundits(and even myself) thought that the Dems would pick up the Senate. Fortunately, the American people still had to vote and we prevailed! Personally, I think that the media, A) wants a horse race to sell ads, B) want to see Kerry win, but by a thin margin to generate interest afterwards, so they juggle the numbers. How can a poll of 626 people(for some of these polls) out of 300 million be accurate? I understand statistical analysis, but the amount of variables with these small samples is staggering!
10 posted on 10/07/2004 11:07:29 AM PDT by aegiscg47
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To: MarlboroRed

This is good news for Bush because we KNOW he will get way more than that from men.


11 posted on 10/07/2004 11:09:47 AM PDT by Clump
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To: Williams

You going to start taking over where discourage left off?


12 posted on 10/07/2004 11:11:29 AM PDT by COEXERJ145
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To: MarlboroRed

It's October........where's our surprise? ;)


13 posted on 10/07/2004 11:14:13 AM PDT by MamaLucci (Libs, want answers on 911? Ask Clinton why he met with Monica more than with his CIA director.)
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To: jaycost

Nice observation


14 posted on 10/07/2004 11:14:16 AM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: MarlboroRed

How do we know how men and women really vote? Is there any real evidence for such a large gender gap beyond polls?


15 posted on 10/07/2004 11:14:27 AM PDT by Hermann the Cherusker
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To: Williams
Thanks for playing Gentleman Jim with my family's security.

Hard to argue with your point.

16 posted on 10/07/2004 11:15:58 AM PDT by Stentor
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To: MarlboroRed

Well then he better UNWIMP himself before the next debate.

Style does matter in these days of REALITY and MAKEOVER shows.


17 posted on 10/07/2004 11:17:12 AM PDT by funkywbr
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To: MarlboroRed

Bush will win the men and win the women.

BUSH WILL WIN NOVEMBER 2!


18 posted on 10/07/2004 11:18:39 AM PDT by JFC
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To: MarlboroRed

What kind of limp-wristed girle-man would vote for Kerry?
Oh yeah, Democrats.


19 posted on 10/07/2004 11:20:19 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: Cableguy
Rasmussen had Bush/Gore at 40/48 last time. Until he proves himself, his work is still questionable.

Exactly. Assmussen has no credibility.

His polls however has picked up trends, even if they are lagging about two days behind the trends.

20 posted on 10/07/2004 11:20:33 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator (I am poster #48)
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