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The movement in the polls towards Kerry is real, and we haven't seen the last of it.

The Bush campaign has seriously miscalculated.

1 posted on 10/03/2004 6:38:11 PM PDT by quidnunc
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To: quidnunc

i agree as of now,i think they are setting a trap though--there will be an OCT surprise-like Libya telling all where the WMD's are or went or how they worked there on iraq's nuke program..something has to come out or it will seem it was for nothing to the dems.


2 posted on 10/03/2004 6:47:10 PM PDT by rang1995
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To: quidnunc
I agree with everything this guy said.

I was less than pleased by President Bush's performance in the debate, for whatever reason. He let WAY too many untruths slip by unmolested. You can say what you want about having a message to get out in a short amount of time-- in my opinion, he could have backed off on the myriad of "flip-flopper" statements and beaten Kerry over the head with a few truth-checks.

In my view, the best moment of the debate was when Kerry accused Bush of unilaterally imposing sanctions on Iran, and Bush responded that the sanctions had been put in place years before he came to Washington.

He had several opportunities to show Kerry up in that fashion, and was left stuttering.

The stuff with Kerry's stupid position on North Korea is obvious, but only to people who actually understand the complexities of the situation-- which, unfortunately, does not include the vast majority of the voting public.

Not that polls are the be-all and end-all in the race, but it is discouraging to go from 7-8 points ahead, and drop to a dead heat overnight.

President Bush needs to get his act together in the next debate and point out the facts-- he sure can't rely on the MSM to do it for him, after the fact!

3 posted on 10/03/2004 6:47:15 PM PDT by Egon (Kerry and the MSM: co-conspirators in treason in 1970, and again in 2004.)
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To: quidnunc

That is not what I read from his analysis. It seems he feels Pres. Bush still has the edge and will probably retain it, unless he blows the next 2 debates.
Who thinks that is even possible, that he will blow those debates? He is excellent in those situations when he has the rest he needs and the motivation. He clearly has the motivation now and NO WAY will he show up after 2 exhausting days in the humid heat of a hurricane disaster next time. Live and learn, that is what our wonderful Pres. does very well. He also LEADS very well. Kerry debates OK as any high school kid can. Look behind that and it's like the Wizard Of Oz, absolutely nothing but a facade. Many will see that. He gave his all in the first debate, as many over the years have.


4 posted on 10/03/2004 6:48:16 PM PDT by BonnieJ
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To: quidnunc

For some much needed historical and political perspective, I encourage you to read the article cited at the following thread:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1234414/posts?page=1


8 posted on 10/03/2004 7:01:49 PM PDT by DrDeb
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To: quidnunc

Bush won!


10 posted on 10/03/2004 7:07:53 PM PDT by John Lenin
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To: quidnunc
one great speech by Bush on the moral and political reasons why we are in Iraq, and how this necessary sacrifice represents the best of what America stands for could make all the difference in the world, and seal his victory.

I agree with VDH, Bush needs to give the speech of his life on Iraq and that will seal his victory. Bush cannot afford another off night.

15 posted on 10/03/2004 7:20:15 PM PDT by NavySEAL F-16 (Proud to be a Reagan Republican)
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To: quidnunc

Get out.

Immediate reactions to a debate are meaningless to its ultimate effect. We're only now seeing the meaning of the debate. It is playing out in the campaign in how each candidate is using it. Kerry is out there spouting off on having "won" the debate.

Bush is out quoting Kerry from the debate.

Who won? Obviously, the winner is the guy who walks away with some goodies to use on the trail. Kerry is getting kicked upside da head for his inanities spewed. Bush very, very careully said nothing that could be misused, misconstrued, or abused by Kerry. All Kerry has to use is that he "won." He has no soundbite, no quotation, no nothing from the President that he can employ. This is no accident.

Bush may not have "won" the debate, but he is winning its aftermath. That is, Bush wins.


17 posted on 10/03/2004 7:42:50 PM PDT by nicollo
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To: quidnunc

We are suffering from the same poll mania that inflicted us four years ago. We are judging the candidates by the polls, so the polls become the story. That can only hurt Bush right now. We need to be more concerned with making the case to others, not just to ourselves, that some of the things Kerry said in the debate were foolish, as they were.


18 posted on 10/03/2004 7:43:28 PM PDT by djpg
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