The poll internals look good. W's personal numbers are still pretty strong.
If his performance had been a disaster, his personal ratings would have crumbled. They haven't.
must have internals....
Bush leads Kerry 51 to 44 on "who would do a better job in Iraq" down from 55 to 41.
On who would do a better job against terrorism, Bush 56 to 39, previously 61 Bush to 34.
On the question of who is better at expressing himself, Kerry outpolled Bush 54-41. On who cares more about people, Kerry had 49 to Bush 44. Who is more intelligent: Kerry 48-38.
On who is more honest and trustworthy, however, Bush 46 to 41, and when asked who among the two candidates shares their values, Bush 49 to 45 Kerry.
And when it comes to who they think is the stronger leader, those polled favored Bush by 56 percent to 37 percent for Kerry.
They saved the best for last. This was at the very end of the article.
Story does not disclose weighting of sample between Republicans and Democrats. The Newsweek poll increased Democrats 6 percentage points, and decreased Republicans 6 percentage points over their previous poll. Strong continuing internals for Bush suggest poll weighting was changed.
This poll really sucks. Where's the breakdown of rep/dems?
If the President performs the same for the next 2 debates I would worry.
Tonight I'm not worried.
For a week after the first Reagan/Mondale debate the MSM wrote of Ronnie as finished.
Kerry will execute the same playbook for the next debates.
W will not.
What is the Republican-Democrat-Independent breakout?? if it does nto OVERSAMPLE REPUBLICANS by 8% Like the last Gallup poll, but instead Oversamples Demons -- then this is a COOKED POLL created to show a huge shift from Bush to Kerry. I stated as much in the last Gallup poll that the huge Bush lead was Bogus because of the Rep-DEM Breakout of the poll.
I think if both the previous poll and this poll are manipulated to show the same REP-DEM-IND breakout the results of the polls will be the same instead of an 11 point change.
Reality - Bush has a 3-5% lead nationwide, and we need to get to work to get out the vote and ensure that lead.
| Symbol | Bid | Ask | Last | Low | High | Average |
| DEM04_G52 | 0.153 | 0.156 | 0.154 | 0.130 | 0.186 | 0.167 |
| DEM04_L52 | 0.245 | 0.249 | 0.250 | 0.229 | 0.299 | 0.272 |
| REP04_L52 | 0.205 | 0.213 | 0.213 | 0.196 | 0.222 | 0.205 |
| REP04_G52 | 0.381 | 0.389 | 0.391 | 0.342 | 0.400 | 0.368 |
49 to 49 with only 2 undecided?? Never happen. This is a rigged poll.
The fact that Kerry's boost was due to something as fleeting as a debate tells me that his higher numbers aren't from real support, but infatuation. And that tells me they're bound to come down.
The Republcan party is asleep at the wheel! (As usual)
They don't call us the stupid party for nothing!
This is bad news.
John Kerry has sent out his Used Car Salesmen (MSM) to convince you the public he is up in the polls
John Kerry has sent out his Used Car Salesmen (MSM) to convince you the public he is up in the polls
John Kerry has sent out his Used Car Salesmen (MSM) to convince you the public he is up in the polls
What's a large margin?
Any indication anywhere as to the ratio of Republicans to DemocRATs? Is this another polluted poll like Newsweaks?
I have read all these polls and doom and gloom folks out there and have come to a conclusion that the there is going to be a tremendous surprise on 11.2. The whole point of the debate is that Kerry presented his ideas in a clear way...and 55+% of the public doesn't like his ideas! 55/45 W over Kerry at the end of the day and the MSM will scratch their heads and wonder what happened. It happened in 2002 and it's going to happen again. They no longer have an accurate pulse on the American public because they no longer represent the American public.