[commish]

THe only internal I want to see is not in the CNN story.

What is the Republican-Democrat-Independent breakout?? if it does nto OVERSAMPLE REPUBLICANS by 8% Like the last Gallup poll, but instead Oversamples Demons -- then this is a COOKED POLL created to show a huge shift from Bush to Kerry. I stated as much in the last Gallup poll that the huge Bush lead was Bogus because of the Rep-DEM Breakout of the poll.

I think if both the previous poll and this poll are manipulated to show the same REP-DEM-IND breakout the results of the polls will be the same instead of an 11 point change.

Reality - Bush has a 3-5% lead nationwide, and we need to get to work to get out the vote and ensure that lead.

[RWR8189]

Ping those I saw that were interested in the internals.

Looks like the big move came from Independents jumping ship to Kerry.

 

Demographics -- Bush vs. Kerry Based on Registered Voters

	Oct 1-3		Sep 24-26		Sep 13-15		Sep 3-5
	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Total	48	49	41	54	44	52	48	49
Gender
Men	45	54	40	56	40	56	45	52
Women	51	45	42	53	47	49	50	46
Race
Whites	43	54	36	60	40	57	42	55
Non-whites	68	29	62	30	63	31	69	25
Age
18-49	47	50	40	56	41	54	48	48
50-64	46	52	47	48	48	50	47	48
65+	52	43	41	55	46	48	48	50
Region
East	54	42	51	46	52	44	51	45
Midwest	58	39	39	54	43	51	47	48
South	37	61	39	57	37	60	45	52
West	47	51	38	59	48	49	49	48
Education
Post-graduate	62	37	51	45	55	43	52	44
College graduate	44	54	39	58	38	57	40	58
Some college	43	55	40	57	41	53	45	50
High school or less	48	48	39	54	44	53	51	47
Income
$75,000 or more	50	48	37	59	40	58	43	55
$50,000-$74,999	38	61	43	55	45	54	44	53
$30,000-$49,999	46	52	42	55	44	53	54	42
Less than $30,000	58	35	46	47	48	44	51	43
Ideology
Conservative	23	75	21	75	15	83	24	74
Moderate	57	40	49	47	57	38	56	40
Liberal	81	14	85	13	81	16	84	13
Partisanship
Republicans	3	94	6	93	4	94	7	90
Independents	54	40	46	48	50	43	49	46
Democrats	89	10	85	10	85	11	90	7

Demographics -- Bush vs. Kerry vs. Nader Based on Registered Voters

	October 1-3			September 24-26			September 3-5
	Kerry	Bush	Nader	Kerry	Bush	Nader	Kerry	Bush	Nader
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Total	47	49	1	42	53	3	46	48	4
Gender
Men	43	53	2	39	55	4	43	51	5
Women	50	45	2	43	51	3	48	46	3
Race
Whites	42	54	2	35	60	3	40	55	3
Non-whites	67	28	3	65	28	4	68	24	6
Age
18-49	46	50	3	40	55	4	45	48	5
50-64	45	51	3	46	48	3	46	48	3
65+	52	43	1	41	55	3	47	49	1
Region
East	51	42	4	50	45	3	48	46	3
Midwest	58	38	--	42	52	3	45	49	4
South	36	59	4	38	56	2	43	51	4
West	46	50	2	37	58	4	47	47	5
Education
Post-graduate	60	36	3	51	43	4	51	44	1
College graduate	43	54	1	39	58	2	38	58	3
Some college	42	55	1	39	56	3	46	50	3
High school or less	47	46	4	40	54	3	46	46	6
Income
$75,000 or more	49	46	4	37	58	2	43	54	2
$50,000-$74,999	38	61	1	41	54	3	41	54	4
$30,000-$49,999	44	52	3	42	54	3	52	41	6
Less than $30,000	58	34	2	47	45	5	49	43	5
Ideology
Conservative	22	74	2	22	75	1	22	74	4
Moderate	56	39	3	49	44	4	54	40	3
Liberal	81	13	3	83	12	5	82	10	4
Partisanship
Republicans	4	93	1	7	92	*	6	91	2
Independents	53	39	4	46	45	6	43	44	8
Democrats	88	10	1	84	10	4	90	7	2