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To: stockstrader

Here is my link . Where is your link. These are the numbers I have for last Newsweek. 5-6pnt lead.

http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/040911/nysa006_1.html


47 posted on 10/02/2004 1:58:03 PM PDT by mlbford2 ("What self respecting man wears Spandex?" -- Zell Miller)
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To: mlbford2
The following is from your link: One week after the GOP convention, the latest Newsweek Poll shows Bush's bounce slowly deflating. In a three-way trial heat, the Bush/Cheney ticket gets 49 percent of the vote among registered voters; the Kerry/Edwards ticket gets 43 percent of the vote; Ralph Nader/Peter Camejo get 2 percent, the poll shows. One week ago, in the Newsweek Poll taken at the end of the GOP convention and the day after the convention, Bush/Cheney had pulled to an 11- point lead (52% v. 41%) with 3 percent for Nader/Camejo. In a two-way trial without the Nader ticket, among registered voters, Bush/Cheney are ahead of Kerry/Edwards 50 to 45 percent, with five percent of registered voters undecided. One week ago in the two-way race, Bush/Cheney were ahead of Kerry/Edwards 54 to 43 percent with three percent undecided.

The Newsweak poll has been all over the ball-park and not trustworthy.

92 posted on 10/02/2004 2:06:26 PM PDT by jackbill
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To: mlbford2; All
I am currently reviewing it. Looks like a big difference in the DEM/REPs polled when compared to the LAST newsweek poll, this needs some good research, these poll results don't past the smell test:

http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=104&STORY=/www/story/10-02-2004/0002263797&EDATE=

297 posted on 10/02/2004 2:48:05 PM PDT by Enlightiator
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To: mlbford2

After the way the media is latching onto Kerry after the debates I was prepared for Bush to slip some, but something's screwy with the results:

The poll says they interviewed 391 Republicans, 300 Democrats and 270 independents.

They then say that Bush has the support of 93% of the Republicans (364 respondants), 7% of the Democrats (21 respondants), and 39% of the independents (105 respondants). Add them together and Bush ends up with 490 of the possible 961 votes, or 51% of the total respondants.

Kerry, meanwhile, ends up with 87% of his party's vote, or 261 respondants, he gets 4% of the Republican vote, or 16 respondants, and 45% of the independent vote, or 122 votes for that group. Add them all up and Kerry ends up with the support of 399 of those polled or just under 42% of the total number of respondants.

So if you apply the total percentages of the party vote that each candidate receives in this poll and multiple it against the number of respondants by party affiliation then Bush is actually up 50%-42%.


512 posted on 10/02/2004 3:34:43 PM PDT by lowteksh
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