[OhGeorgia]

given all the potential fraud and new resigestering going on, I think RV polls might be more accurate than LV now.

[Dog]

Like heck RV are more accurate.

LV are the people who will go to the polls come hell or high water.

Newsweek is blowing smoke with this poll.

[Congressman Billybob]

You have that reversed. If there are fraudulent registrations going on in any significant number (which seems likely), polls based on "likely" voters will be even more accurate than polls based on "registered" voters. Keep in mind how the process of determining "likely" voters is done.

The most likely voter is a highly educated, reasonably wealthy, elderly white woman, who went to religious services at least once in the last month. The least likely voter is a high school dropout, poor, young black male, who does not attend religious services. All others, based on their demographics, fall in between those extremes. Long history from prior elections proves out these demographic results.

That's why LV polls are almost always more accurate than RV voters in matching the ultimate outcome on election day.

Congressman Billybob

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