Posted on 10/02/2004 1:45:56 PM PDT by tsmith130
Edited on 10/02/2004 2:53:28 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]
NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONE
Sat Oct 02 2004 16:42:32 ET
New York-Sixty-one percent of Americans who watched the first presidential debate on September 30 say Sen. John Kerry won; 19 percent say President George W. Bush won and 16 percent say they tied, according to the latest Newsweek Poll which was conducted after the debate ended. Fifty-six percent say Kerry did better than they expected; 11 percent say so for Bush. Thirty-eight percent say Bush did worse than expected; 3 percent say so for Kerry, the poll shows.
The debate erased the lead the Bush/Cheney ticket has held over Kerry/Edwards in the Newsweek Poll since the Republican convention. In a three-way trial heat including Ralph Nader/Peter Camejo, among registered voters Kerry/Edwards leads Bush/Cheney 47 percent v. 45 percent with 2 percent for Nader/Camejo. In a two-way heat, Kerry/Edwards leads 49 percent v. 46 percent for Bush/Cheney, the poll shows.
A 62-percent majority of viewers says Kerry seemed more confident and self-assured (26% say so for Bush) and 51 percent say Kerry had better command of issues and facts (37% for Bush). Forty-seven percent say Kerry seemed more personally likeable (41 % for Bush) and 49 percent say Kerry came closer to reflecting their own views on most foreign policy issues (43% for Bush). The two were nearly even on several other points, including who came across as a strong leader (47% Kerry, 44% Bush) and who had a better plan for dealing with the situation in Iraq (45% for both). Forty percent of viewers thought Kerry was too wordy and 57 percent thought Bush was too repetitive.
Fifty-seven percent of all poll respondents say they are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time. Bush's job approval rating dropped two points from the Sept. 9-10 Newsweek Poll to 46 percent-a 6-point drop since the poll taken during and after the Republican convention. Forty-eight percent of registered voters polled say they would not like to see Bush re-elected but almost as many (46%) say they would.
Excerpt, the rest of the article is here: NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONE
I would not worry, all the same we shouldn't be complacent, but here in Maine quite a few democrats are voting for BUSH so far and two more switched from KERRY to BUSH because of the DEBATE. If Maine is any indication of the rest of the swing states than I think BUSH will still defeat Kerry. Now if Bush can just capture OSAMA he'll be a shoe in.
>I've been a Repub since March, and I have more faith in Bush than some of you whiners.<
Amen! You said exactly what I've been thinking for a couple of days now. I've been paying attention to presidential elections since the 70's and the MSM has ALWAYS said the races are too close to call.
If it wasn't a horserace, the papers & networks would lose readers & viewers which translates into lost profits. Pollsters want a close race so nervous folk from either side will continue to call for more up to the moment polls - so there is a profit motive involved even with polling companies.
I remember distinctly that one of the nightly news programs said of the Reagan / Carter race that the polls indicated it was too close to call. Then, a day later we all found out they were talking through their hats. This election is no different - other than maybe for the MSM having to carry even more water for their candidate because he is so unattractive, arrogant and boring.
It's NEWSWEEK! So who am I suppose to belive? Newsweek or CNN/Gallup, and Rassmussion that show NO Debate bump for Kerry?
Why do some many Freepers suffer from McCainism?
"McCainism" A mental defect where the poster feels the need to constantly run down his own side while never pointing out the gross flaws in the opposition. Mental defect caused by the fraudulent belief that being hyper critical of their own side shows poster to be wise and intellectually sophisticated. Cure: Massive does of mockery for their doom and gloom pomposity.
The numbers demonstrate just how poorly Bush did in the debate. He wasn't even mediocre; he was awful. And I think many conservatives are focusing on what was said, instead of what they saw. Whether its right or wrong, many women judge a debate on appearances, and Bush was terrible. I saw a timid, tongue-tied, ill-prepared man. He appeared as though he was incapable of defending himself. Anyone who didn't know Kerry would attack him so profusely must have been asleep at the switch. Kerry was behind in the polls with nothing to lose; it was obvious he was going to come out swinging. And Bush just rolled over. It was an indefensible performance.
It's NEWSWEEK! So who am I suppose to belive? Newsweek or CNN/Gallup, and Rassmussion that show NO Debate bump for Kerry?
Why do some many Freepers suffer from McCainism?
"McCainism" A mental defect where the poster feels the need to constantly run down his own side while never pointing out the gross flaws in the opposition. Mental defect caused by the fraudulent belief that being hyper critical of their own side shows poster to be wise and intellectually sophisticated. Cure: Massive does of mockery for their doom and gloom pomposity.
He will win!
It's NEWSWEEK! So who am I suppose to belive? Newsweek or CNN/Gallup, and Rassmussion that show NO Debate bump for Kerry?
Why do some many Freepers suffer from McCainism?
"McCainism" A mental defect where the poster feels the need to constantly run down his own side while never pointing out the gross flaws in the opposition. Mental defect caused by the fraudulent belief that being hyper critical of their own side shows poster to be wise and intellectually sophisticated. Cure: Massive does of mockery for their doom and gloom pomposity.
(Get a GRIP people........SHEESH!!!)
To support your point, my nephew (20 year-old college student) called me about 30 minutes into the debate and asked me if it was too late to register to vote. I was shocked. He's extremely apolitical. He said he was watching the debates because he couldn't find anything else to watch. He's expressed deep hatred for Bush in the past. I was even more shocked when he said, "Man, Kerry's a jerk. I've got to vote for Bush." He said Bush is a terrible speaker, but Kerry is just an ass.
Are there any others, such as myself, that think Bush did very poorly Thursday night but will still prevail in Nov? For whatever reason, he let both himself and his supporters down, but luckily for all of us, Kerry committed some major blunders.
Team Bush got the words, and now they have the phrase "Kerry Doctrine" in which to sear, sear I tell you, what appeasement really means to the long-term prospects of this country.
I say this with all due respect, but your son joined the service of his own free will, correct?
Your son is a grown man and wears the uniform of his country. Your wife does not want him fighting the same folks on main street.
Freedom is not free.
How gracious of you.
Too bad the average voter doesn't seem to agree with you.
What the average voter thinks is of no consequence to me. The average voter elected Clinton, twice.
I make my own judgments and express my own opinions without either asking anyone's permission or to be accepted by the 'average voter'. Bush is a doofus but he's better than that traitorous socialist Kerry.
It's NEWSWEEK! So who am I suppose to belive? Newsweek or CNN/Gallup, and Rassmussion that show NO Debate bump for Kerry?
Why do some many Freepers suffer from McCainism?
"McCainism" A mental defect where the poster feels the need to constantly run down his own side while never pointing out the gross flaws in the opposition. Mental defect caused by the fraudulent belief that being hyper critical of their own side shows poster to be wise and intellectually sophisticated. Cure: Massive does of mockery for their doom and gloom pomposity.
I thought the debate was a draw. Conventional wisdom says Kerry won. Fine. There are two more debates and the President needs to have a solid showing in both of them. Bush needs to be mentally focused and not so defensive.
Come on folks. All is not lost.
Oh please. You're actually suggesting that Kerry paid Rove to cause Bush to lose?
thanks...I needed that!
Dick Morris said it looked to him as if the POTUS had only enough material for 1/2 hour. Since he had to go 45 minutes he was forced to recycle some of it.
Reagan lost in a fair fight. He tried his damndest, screwed up, learned from his mistakes and went on to win the other debates.
Bush had one chance to end the election early. Could have ended it early. No matter what happens --- including an eventual Bush victory, which I will still work my heart out for --- the chance of Bush putting Kerry away on Oct 1 is gone forever.
And why is it gone? Because of a fair fight fairly lost?
Not on your life.
There is duplicity and treason within the Bush campaign.
Nothing else would explain the over-tiredness and under-preparedness of our President.
Nothing. Not all the spin of all the spiders on the internet.
Kerry's biggest edge is in performing better in the debates than was expected. He did not come across as unlikable when most people were convinced that he would.
Bush did not necessarily "blow it", Kerry just did what he needed to do to get right back in the race. Because of that, this election is going to go right down to the wire once again.
Please don't tell me you're comparing Bush to Reagan!
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