Except in Presidential elections. They historically side with the incumbent.
BTW, I've also said all along I believe this race is going to be close until Nov. 2nd. Then I think it's going to break wide open.
I think people are going to flirt with change, than reality is going to set in when they have to register a vote.
You're in good company. I've heard some smart people say the same thing. The Bush campaign just needs to be sure they come out hard tomorrow and keep the mo' going their way.