Posted on 09/25/2004 4:55:46 AM PDT by RedBloodedAmerican
Hurricane Jeanne Intermediate Advisory Number 48b
Statement as of 3:00 PM EDT on September 25, 2004
... Eye of dangerous Hurricane Jeanne relentlessly battering the
northwest Bahamas..
a Hurricane Warning is in effect along the Florida East Coast from
Florida City northward to St. Augustine...including Lake
Okeechobee. A Hurricane Warning is also in effect for the
northwestern Bahamas...including the Abacos...Andros Island...Berry
Islands...Bimini...Eleuthera...Grand Bahama Island...and New
Providence. Preparations to protect life and property in the
Hurricane Warning area should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect from
north of St. Augustine northward to Altamaha Sound Georgia.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the West Coast of Florida
from East Cape Sable northward to the Suwannee River. A Hurricane
Watch is in effect from Englewood to the Suwannee River.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the central
Bahamas...including Cat Island...the Exumas...Long Island...Rum
Cay...and San Salvador.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect from the Suwannee River
northward along the West Coast of Florida to the Ochlockonee River
and from south of Florida City around the southern end of the
Florida Peninsula to just south of East Cape Sable including
Florida Bay...and the Florida Keys north of the Seven Mile Bridge.
At 3 PM EDT...1900z...the eye of Hurricane Jeanne was located
near latitude 27.0 north...longitude 78.4 west about 40 miles...65
km...north-northeast of Freeport Grand Bahama Island. This position
is also about 125 miles...205 km...east-southeast of Vero Beach
Florida.
Jeanne is now moving a little north of due west near 14 mph...22
km/hr. On this track...the core of Jeanne will continue near or
over the remainder of the northwestern Bahamas during the next few
hours...and approach the Florida East Coast tonight or early
Sunday. Hurricane force winds are expected to spread inland across
much of the Florida Peninsula.
Jeanne is dangerous category three hurricane on the Saffir/Simpson
hurricane scale with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph...185
km/hr...with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is
possible before landfall in Florida. Stronger winds...especially in
gusts...are likely to occur on high rise buildings.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 205 miles...335 km....mainly to the north of the center.
Latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force plane was
953 mb...28.14 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 feet above normal tide levels...along
with large and dangerous battering waves...are still occurring near
the center of Jeanne on the north side of Grand Bahama Island and
on the west side of the abaco islands. Storm surge flooding of 2 to
4 feet above normal tide levels can be expected on the west side of
the other islands of the Bahamas in the Hurricane Warning area.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 4 to 6 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be
expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall
along the Florida East Coast. A storm surge of up to 7 feet above
the present water level is likely to occur mainly on the east side
of Lake Okeechobee.
Tides of 1 to 3 feet above normal are possible in the warned area
along the Florida West Coast....possible reaching 3 to 6 feet in
areas of onshore flow north of Tampa Bay.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated higher amounts
...Are possible along the track of Jeanne over the northwestern
Bahamas and Florida.
Isolated tornadoes are possible over portions of the east Florida
Peninsula today.
Repeating the 3 PM EDT position...27.0 N... 78.4 W. Movement
toward...a little north of due west near 14 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...115 mph. Minimum central pressure...953 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
5 PM EDT.
Forecaster Avila
I used to to live there. I lived on Lassen Ave in 7 springs. I miss it there.
lol, good one. A friend's arrangement: her picnic table upside down w/large potted plants under trash can inside legs, all tied down. And we're still wondering if that might fly away -- that's how drastically we're thinking!
I might have to check that, it might have read 8 pm tomorrow, or was it 8 am? Either way it was dead over Kissimmee.
Is it just me, or has the pressure been dropping quite significantly in the last 12 hours or so?
My friends in Edgewater say a lot of people aren't leaving.
What are you expecting?
Prayers and well wishes for you all. As I've said thread after thread, I have family and friends in Florida and am thinking of them.
Bad winds and rain, and hopefully no tornadoes. They just showed 'hoods in edgewater still under water to peoples front doors from Lake Monroe and St Johns River
For a second I thought you asked "are you expecting?" and I was going to say "no, I'm just fat" and call you a name.
Prayer Bump for Floridians and all of those through this hurricane season.
I hope you all voted early!!
Speaking of hitting the beach, where's Patton at? Can't believe he'd be missing this.
Little further north from the Burger King, south of the 7 Towers condo's from there!
(Assuming, that is, after the other hurricane blew through Daytona Beach Shores, that "there" is still where "there" was when "there" was "there" before it got blown someplace else.....)
Weather Station VeniVidiVici :-)
28.4N 81.15W
Pressure - 1002mb/29.59
Temp - 80
Humidity - 78%
Dew Point - 73
Wind - NE 4mph gust to 12mph
Rain - .08
Figure I'll post this everytime the pressure goes down. More for a personal recored than anything else.
Winds 72mph; gusts to 83mph. Pressure 28.82" (down half an inch from last report!). That's 975 mb - the lowest reported pressure is now 955.
LOL
There is an error in your model, it missed Texas. I think you have to increase the Republican values to correct.
I've been watching this all afternoon. I'd swear it's moving due west. This is Ft. Lauderdale radar.
http://weather.sun-sentinel.com/global/Region/g4/2xpxIRSatellite.html
Are you sure about that? Mississippi has been quite the Republican state, so wouldn't the hurricane be more gentle to her?
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