There was an article in the Detroit Free Press today (they don't allow excerpting) about the battle for Ohio. The most laughable line was how Ohio was "crucial" to Bush's re-election efforts. Uh, no, it's crucial to Kerry's chances. Kerry can't win unless he peels off Florida or Ohio. Bush can win without one of them. That's because the battleground states are almost all blue turf, except for Florida and Ohio.
Kerry is not now, nor has he really ever been close in OH. Bush was ahead in OH by 8% just one week prior to the election in 2000, before the DUI hurt him---but he still won by 4%. He is now, based on the poll, up between 4-10%. Kerry can save his/Ta-Ray-Za's money.