Arkansas, Louisiana, Arizona, Missouri, Florida, Ohio, Colorado, West Virginia, Nevada.
He just wrote off his chances in four of those because he trails, and he trails in the other five. In the meantime, Wisconsin and New Mexico, razor thin wins in 2000 for Dems, have now slipped into the Bush column, while Maryland, New Jersey, Oregon, Washington, Pennsylvania and Minnesota, all comfortable 2000 Dem wins, are now up for grabs, with Bush actually leading in Oregon.
Kerry is doomed.
I hate to be a splash of cold water but Bush does not have this election sewed up yet.
In politics, there is a lot of time between now and Nov 2nd. A lot can happen...a large tragedy in Iraq involving many US military deaths...a poor performance by Bush in one (or more) of the debates...
Kerry is reeling from the blows but he's not down for the count yet. I expect the Democrat sleaze and fraud machine to kick into high gear early in October.
The best thing we can all do is to continue volunteering at your local B-C'04 office. I do.
This is still a tight race. And Democrats have a way of winning many tight races... always have had...
Re your post 21, I agree with everything but one state is definitely beyond reach: Maryland. Spiro Agnew and the current token Republican governor notwithstanding, that place is a Democratic stronghold beyond belief. Three reasons: Baltimore, and Prince Georges and Montgomery Counties.
The rest of the state is sane.