Posted on 09/15/2004 7:38:29 PM PDT by lainie
Hurricane Ivan Advisory Number 55
Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on September 15, 2004
...Extremely dangerous Hurricane Ivan coming closer to the northern Gulf Coast...strong winds already moving onshore...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana to Apalachicola Florida...including the greater New Orleans area and Lake Pontchartrain. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion throughout the entire warning area.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect from Morgan City Louisiana to west of Grand Isle.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Morgan City to west of Grand Isle...and from east of Apalachicola to Yankeetown Florida.
At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the large eye of Hurricane Ivan was centered near latitude 29.3 north... longitude 88.1 west or about 65 miles south of the Alabama coastline.
Ivan is moving slightly east of north near 12 mph...and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of the hurricane will reach the coast early on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible prior to landfall...but Ivan is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane...category three or higher. Occupants of high-rise buildings within the Hurricane Warning area can expect higher winds than those experienced at the surface...about one Saffir-Simpson category higher at the top of a 30-story building. After landfall... hurricane force winds could spread inland up to about 150 miles near the path of the center.
People are strongly advised not to venture out from shelter during the calm conditions of the eye...as winds will increase rapidly with little or no warning when the eye passes.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles. The Dauphin Island C-man station reported sustained winds of 54 mph with a gust to 83 mph...and Pensacola Naval Air Station reported sustained winds of 51 mph with a gust to 68 mph.
The latest minimum central pressure measured by a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft was 933 mb...27.55 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 10 to 16 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Lesser...but still significant surge values will be experienced where onshore flow occurs west of the center.
Dangerous surf conditions...including rip currents...are likely elsewhere along the Florida Gulf Coast.
Rainfall accumulations of 10 to 15 inches...with isolated higher amounts...can be expected in association with Ivan.
Tornadoes are possible over the next 24 hours in southern Alabama... the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend area...and southwestern Georgia.
Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...29.3 N... 88.1 W. Movement toward...north near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 933 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at midnight CDT and 2 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 am CDT.
Forecaster Pasch
$$
Links
nwctwx's excellent list
Weather Underground/Tropical
The Weather Channel Map Room
Intellicast Tropical Page
BoatU.S. Hurricane Tracking
this thread continuing from http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1216382/posts
The Mobile area was enduring the major assault of Category 4 Hurricane Ivan at midnight Wednesday, with the eyewall about 40 miles south of the Alabama coast and the deadly storm howling ashore with 135-mph winds.
The hurricane early Thursday was plowing into a large swath of the northern Gulf Coast, from Mississippi to the Florida Panhandle, even as tropical storm-force winds still blustered across the New Orleans after the storm scraped by Southeastern Louisiana.
After a hellish exodus of bumper-to-bumper traffic for hundreds of miles Tuesday, those left in New Orleans Wednesday night were hunkered down in homes, hotels and the last-resort Superdome shelter as winds from Hurricane Ivan blustered through the city. Curfews were in effect across the region.
Metro New Orleans appeared to have missed major damage from the storm, although tens of thousands of residents were left without power in the lower parishes and the Slidell area, and strong north winds flooded the South Shore of the lake front outside the levees.
The metro area saw a nightmarish last-minute evacuation Tuesday, as computer models threatened a doomsday scenario of hurricane-spawned floods filling the city's below-sea-level "bowl." Tens of thousands of refugees Wednesday sat out the storm in shelters and hotels across the South.
The city was under a 2 p.m. curfew Wednesday, about the time tropical storm-force winds began whipping the area. Mayor Ray Nagin opened the Superdome as a refuge of last resort, and thousands of residents were bused to the cavernous structure.
Although New Orleans was reporting little damage from the storm, areas of lower Plaquemines and the eastern coastline were seeing significant hurricane-force winds and storm surges. About 25,000 residents of those areas were reported to have lost power in the afternoon.
what a moron....
we knew they would open the Superdome though...someone had to point out it was his behind on the line....
In the red area it states that "Mobile homes destroyed"
The red area is over Mobile...
Well, even if you're wrong, I'll still respect you in the morning. LOL
I'm screwing up my drowned rats now. Sorry.. but the planter blew over in the vicinity of Anderson Cooper so I know that's CNN.
Mobile PD has dropped off.
I am using images from www.weatherunderground.com and the Pensacolla radar film loops.
Uh? Your loop shows eye first at G.S. and going up HWY 98 on east side of bay. Eye is 50 miles wide and west side will scrape bay on eastern shores. A picture is worth a thousand words. Peace.
that is the problem with those trunked systems....you have all kinds of pieces that can fail, computers, repeaters, towers, etc.
if you had the old system, you just stick a temp antenna up and get back on the air...
I saw that planter blow over.
Oh, now I understand what you meant. Gary Tuchman is the one on the video phone.
That linke in #346 looks to me like the eye indeed is ashore, and just west of "Orange Beach," whatever that strip of land would be.
They just said on the radio that they were expecting storm surge 10-16 feet.
uhhhhh, errrrr... battery operated buzz saws, ice pics... what tools???????????? Cut their way out of roofs, attics... He's the leader??????
A nice warm woman, and who cares what is happening outside tonight. LOL
...."Gary Tuchman (CNN) is the one on the video phone.."
Why if the eye is over him is he not on yet. Where is Gary?
sounds like John Kerry responding to a terror attack....
"they should have brought their blow torches to work!"
I believe he was the one on about a half hour ago wearing a blue coat on the video phone who you could barely see in the dark and the "fuzzy" video phone pic.
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