Hurricane Ivan -- Wednesday 9/15

NWS, NHC, various | 9/15/2004

[southriver4]

That's just about the worst case, isn't it???

[Flux Capacitor]

Nope. Nuclear-powered temporal-displacement capacitor. :)

Whoever made that slow-motion road accident analogy nailed it. This sucker isn't going east at all. If anything, it's banked NW to put New Orleans even more directly into its path.

Insane frigging hellstorm.

-Dan

[slag]

This hurricane should have been called Kerry instead of Ivan. It has wobbled all over the place since day one and has continued to stay to the left, while the news media has been telling us continually it is moving more to the right.

[gopwinsin04]

Yep, Ivan is looking for a further water source..

[Tuxedo]

Could be our boy Ivan wants a bowl of gumbo and a Po Boy. I don't like the looks of this.

[Pyro7480]

NOLA TV Radar says its heading due North!

The satellite loop that I was just looking at looks that way too. Anything can still happen though.

[lugsoul]

Does that say 50 ft. waves around the eyewall? In the Gulf?

Jeez. I think I'd be leavin'.

[GOP_1900AD]

Of note, 88.2 deg W long. *was* the forecasted westernmost point. Any more western movement and the forecast is clearly too far to the east. I know I should not focus on the "projected track" but that is what the media are doing.

[gopwinsin04]

Its going straight up the Mighty Mississippi.

[agrace]

Weather Underground's 11 am strike probability map has NO pretty much dead-center, even while they show a recent jog to the north -

Scary. Wonder what the various tracking models say at this point.

[alancarp]

Buoy #42020 is now 1.4 degrees of latitude straight north of Ivan -- almost 100 miles. Gusts to 65 mph there, Pressure 29.34 inches (falling rapidly - duh). Wave height 38 Feet.

[BurbankKarl]

http://tinyurl.com/6mo9n

this gives a bigger picture than the NWS site

[TheLion]

"This hurricane should have been called Kerry instead of Ivan. It has wobbled all over the place since day one and has continued to stay to the left, while the news media has been telling us continually it is moving more to the right.

Brilliant...Bush should use that!

[Tuxedo]

Yep, and 88.2 is the center. I predict a hit between Mobile Bay and New Orleans, with massive destruction in the Mobile area. TWC saying path just slightly west of due north.

[MamaB]

Alabama has cancelled all high school football games for Friday, Sat. Sun, and Monday. I did not know that we had games on the weekend.

[pnz1]

Is TWC still saying landfall at Mobile/Mobile bay?

[alancarp]

The models are converging on the entire Alabama coastline with the Gulf.

[gopwinsin04]

8-9 hours from NOLA to Baton Rouge by car.

[Pyro7480]

It's pretty clear that Ivan is going to return to Cat 4 this afternoon.

I don't think it ever weakened enough to lose Cat. 4 strength. At the 1 pm CDT report, max. sustained winds are still at 135 mph, which is 4 mph more than minimum Cat. 4 wind strength.

[brothers4thID]

Thank you for the conversion table. That has been bugging me all morning. (Please don't tell my former CPO that I can no longer convert knots to mph)