Posted on 09/14/2004 10:41:58 PM PDT by lainie
Right before landfall, Andrew intensified about 20 knots in about the distance Ivan has left to cover!
Judging by the pressure, the well defined eye, and my total lack of professional meteorlogical experience, I wouldn't be surprised if this were a cat 5 again by the time the eye hits land.
i'm running this off my cable modem, and my internet connection is a little sluggish. plus my little webserver isn't very powerful.
I was going to say it had to be. It was newly rebuilt after OPAL. Build to withstand a Cat 5. I love that Pier (ant the Angler Restaurant attached to it!)
At 4 PM CDT...2100z...the Tropical Storm Warning is discontinued west of Morgan City Louisiana. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Morgan City to west of Grand Isle...and from east of Apalachicola to Yankeetown Florida. At 4 PM CDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Ivan was located near latitude 28.4 north... longitude 88.3 west or about 125 miles south of the Alabama coastline. Ivan is moving toward the north near 14 mph...and this motion is expected to continue until landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Ivan is expected to reach the coastline very late tonight or early Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible prior to landfall...but Ivan is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane...category three or higher. Occupants of high-rise buildings within the Hurricane Warning area can expect higher winds than those experienced at the surface...about one Saffir-Simpson category higher at the top of a 30-story building. After landfall... hurricane force winds could to spread inland up to about 150 miles near the path of the center. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles. Sustained winds at the Dauphin Island C-man station were recently clocked at 45 mph...with gusts to 59 mph. A buoy about 75 miles south of Dauphin Island reported 50 ft seas. The latest minimum central pressure measured by an Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft was 933 mb...27.55 inches.
Holy Cow!
Hunker down, all in harms' way: gonna be a long night. Hope to hear from you out the other side.
Crews from Oklahoma and Kansas now coming to restore power in NOLA..
You're just jealous. I can tell you wish it was you tempting fate with a Cajun princess on your arm. Shades of Titanic.
You sure the board's not up already?
W5WA Ocean Springs, Ms --- 33 MPH Winds, Gusts to 44, pressure 29.63 and falling.
You're having a blizzard outside you're front window!!! All I see is white! (with some funny "x" shaped red snowflake...)
Seriously though, stay safe and board up that window before it gets so windy that you can't hold the board up there. Just in case, you also might want to put a roll of toilet paper in a plastic bag. I can't imagine life with wet toilet paper.
That is what I fear, also. The eye has realy reorganized the past 4-5 hours. Very sharp features. The dropping pressure indicates strengthening. My guess is that it will hit dead center of the coast between the Alabama/Mississippi state line and Mobile Bay, with Mobile Bay receiving the brunt of the storm surge. Winds of 140-145-MPH. The vacation homes and condos of the Alabama Gulf coast will be obliterated.
I was going to say it had to be. It was newly rebuilt after OPAL. Build to withstand a Cat 5. I love that Pier (ant the Angler Restaurant attached to it!)
Nope. Pier is damaged and getting hit worse.
On the Satellite I've been watching there was a jog to the northeast and now what looks like movement to the north. It's close enough to the mouth of the Mississippi for Southeast Louisiana to get a bit of a clobbering. Meanwhile, Mobile seems set to get the right of the storm surge and if it moves north and to the east the brunt of the thing. Good luck all!
Bush needs to add faster loading radar loops to his platform, it will be a landslide.
Where are you watching this?
Do you have the latest buoy data??
Steve Lyons on TWC said around Pensacola and points west storm surge of around 20 feet with waves 30-40 feet on top of that. That is amazing.
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