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Hurricane Ivan -- Wednesday 9/15
NWS, NHC, various | 9/15/2004

Posted on 09/14/2004 10:41:58 PM PDT by lainie

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To: nwctwx
Pressure down to 933mb now, Ivan continues to strengthen.

Right before landfall, Andrew intensified about 20 knots in about the distance Ivan has left to cover!

1,061 posted on 09/15/2004 1:45:35 PM PDT by AntiGuv (™)
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To: nwctwx
Pressure down to 933mb now, Ivan continues to strengthen.

Judging by the pressure, the well defined eye, and my total lack of professional meteorlogical experience, I wouldn't be surprised if this were a cat 5 again by the time the eye hits land.

1,062 posted on 09/15/2004 1:45:42 PM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: LikeLight

i'm running this off my cable modem, and my internet connection is a little sluggish. plus my little webserver isn't very powerful.


1,063 posted on 09/15/2004 1:45:49 PM PDT by mikenola
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To: Dawgmeister
Pier at Ft. Walton is ok

I was going to say it had to be. It was newly rebuilt after OPAL. Build to withstand a Cat 5. I love that Pier (ant the Angler Restaurant attached to it!)

1,064 posted on 09/15/2004 1:45:51 PM PDT by Warren_Piece (Just thinkin' about women and glasses of beer.)
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To: gopwinsin04
Advisory 54 out 4PM CDT

At 4 PM CDT...2100z...the Tropical Storm Warning is discontinued west of Morgan City Louisiana. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Morgan City to west of Grand Isle...and from east of Apalachicola to Yankeetown Florida. At 4 PM CDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Ivan was located near latitude 28.4 north... longitude 88.3 west or about 125 miles south of the Alabama coastline. Ivan is moving toward the north near 14 mph...and this motion is expected to continue until landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Ivan is expected to reach the coastline very late tonight or early Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible prior to landfall...but Ivan is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane...category three or higher. Occupants of high-rise buildings within the Hurricane Warning area can expect higher winds than those experienced at the surface...about one Saffir-Simpson category higher at the top of a 30-story building. After landfall... hurricane force winds could to spread inland up to about 150 miles near the path of the center. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles. Sustained winds at the Dauphin Island C-man station were recently clocked at 45 mph...with gusts to 59 mph. A buoy about 75 miles south of Dauphin Island reported 50 ft seas. The latest minimum central pressure measured by an Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft was 933 mb...27.55 inches.

1,065 posted on 09/15/2004 1:46:55 PM PDT by commish (Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
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To: mhking
A buoy about 75 miles south of Dauphin Island reported 50 ft seas.

Holy Cow!

1,066 posted on 09/15/2004 1:46:58 PM PDT by Libertarian444
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To: Pyro7480

Hunker down, all in harms' way: gonna be a long night. Hope to hear from you out the other side.


1,067 posted on 09/15/2004 1:47:43 PM PDT by alancarp (When does it cease to be "Freedom of the Press" and become outright SEDITION?)
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To: Severa
I have a fake powerball ticket but the numbers are correct, can I collect 72 million bucks? (lol)

Crews from Oklahoma and Kansas now coming to restore power in NOLA..

1,068 posted on 09/15/2004 1:47:58 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: gopwinsin04

You're just jealous. I can tell you wish it was you tempting fate with a Cajun princess on your arm. Shades of Titanic.


1,069 posted on 09/15/2004 1:48:17 PM PDT by kinghorse
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To: mikenola

You sure the board's not up already?


1,070 posted on 09/15/2004 1:48:19 PM PDT by PBRSTREETGANG
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To: alancarp

W5WA Ocean Springs, Ms --- 33 MPH Winds, Gusts to 44, pressure 29.63 and falling.


1,071 posted on 09/15/2004 1:48:46 PM PDT by commish (Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
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To: mikenola

You're having a blizzard outside you're front window!!! All I see is white! (with some funny "x" shaped red snowflake...)

Seriously though, stay safe and board up that window before it gets so windy that you can't hold the board up there. Just in case, you also might want to put a roll of toilet paper in a plastic bag. I can't imagine life with wet toilet paper.


1,072 posted on 09/15/2004 1:50:01 PM PDT by Miztiki (Living in Hoooston and getting lost on a regular basis!)
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To: DouglasKC
Judging by the pressure, the well defined eye, and my total lack of professional meteorlogical experience, I wouldn't be surprised if this were a cat 5 again by the time the eye hits land.

That is what I fear, also. The eye has realy reorganized the past 4-5 hours. Very sharp features. The dropping pressure indicates strengthening. My guess is that it will hit dead center of the coast between the Alabama/Mississippi state line and Mobile Bay, with Mobile Bay receiving the brunt of the storm surge. Winds of 140-145-MPH. The vacation homes and condos of the Alabama Gulf coast will be obliterated.

1,073 posted on 09/15/2004 1:50:40 PM PDT by Bryan24
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To: Warren_Piece
Pier at Ft. Walton is ok

I was going to say it had to be. It was newly rebuilt after OPAL. Build to withstand a Cat 5. I love that Pier (ant the Angler Restaurant attached to it!)

Nope. Pier is damaged and getting hit worse.

1,074 posted on 09/15/2004 1:51:00 PM PDT by balrog666 (There is no security on this earth. Only opportunity.)
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To: commish

On the Satellite I've been watching there was a jog to the northeast and now what looks like movement to the north. It's close enough to the mouth of the Mississippi for Southeast Louisiana to get a bit of a clobbering. Meanwhile, Mobile seems set to get the right of the storm surge and if it moves north and to the east the brunt of the thing. Good luck all!


1,075 posted on 09/15/2004 1:52:00 PM PDT by Types_with_Fist (God Bless Ronald Reagan!)
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To: mhking

Bush needs to add faster loading radar loops to his platform, it will be a landslide.


1,076 posted on 09/15/2004 1:52:24 PM PDT by No Blue States
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To: Types_with_Fist

Where are you watching this?


1,077 posted on 09/15/2004 1:53:12 PM PDT by Howlin (What's the Font Spacing, Kenneth?)
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To: numberonepal

Do you have the latest buoy data??


1,078 posted on 09/15/2004 1:53:53 PM PDT by Pyro7480 (Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
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To: Types_with_Fist

Steve Lyons on TWC said around Pensacola and points west storm surge of around 20 feet with waves 30-40 feet on top of that. That is amazing.


1,079 posted on 09/15/2004 1:54:33 PM PDT by Tuxedo
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To: Miztiki
Thanks man that's a good tip.
Let's try this one and see if it works:

It's not all that interesting anyway, just giving me something to do to keep my mind off things.
1,080 posted on 09/15/2004 1:54:50 PM PDT by mikenola
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