37 % I had 7% heavy on Republicans in wich case that is a huge skew!
How do you explain away the Times Poll though?
Also, the real numbers might be a bit higher anyway since one of the polling days was before Bushes Speech. After Bushes Speech he was winning by 16.
Post-convention polls traditionally lean in the favor of the party who just had the convention.
I wouldn't be suprised if Arnold shifted 5% on his own "You are a Republican if...." speech.
I would like to see more national polls on this, but there is no reason to believe that Bush isn't up ATLEAST 8-10 right now.
Dear American100,
Although 38% of their sample was Republican, and 31% of their sample was Democrat, I think it's likely they weighted Republicans and Democrats differently in coming to their final numbers. Here is a link to a post I made on another thread examining this question:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1207324/posts?page=255#255
The raw numbers would have gone 54% for Bush, 40% for Kerry if they'd have computed the poll without doing any weighting.
sitetest
Fair point.
Keep your powder dry, although I do believe Kerry will be flattened like Dukakis.
Also only 12% minority I read.
The only polls I semi-trust are Strategic Vision polls.
I don't think "weighted" is the right word. That implies intent. It may be that more people id with Rep. now.
The great fun in the pole numbers is the effect it's having on the DU.
Bush/Cheney - 50%
Skerry/BreckGirlSilkPony - 43%
Still a nice bump, but not the amount being reported by Newsweek.
Never. 4 more years, 4 more years....