[alancarp]

Having just done a little research myself (probably as you were typing your post!), I am backing up your Weather Board report: given the NHC Tracks towards central Florida coast over the past two days, I compared their track expectations to the actuals observed over this past two days.

In all cases, Frances appears to be approx. 1 full longitude degree (60 miles +/-) further west than the expected track for the NHC mid-coast solution, when comparing equivalent latitude values. This corroborates the notion above that the compass direction "should have been" more like 290-295 degrees by now.

This argues for a stronger **possibility** of a South Florida hit - IMHO. I'll apply flame-retardant attire.

[jpsb]

Any chance of Frances returning to a 270 course?

[LBelle]

Considering the evacuation orders in PB county and Broward press conference I just heard, others believe you as well.