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To: dfwgator
Remember this post from yesterday? http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1190983/posts?page=445#445 I have a theory that something about the geography of Florida steers hurricaines away from Jacksonville. Every time I see Jacksonville in the center of a predicted path I predict the storm will hug the edge of the predicted path.

But just in case, I live in a concrete block house with a large windowless closet available. And last night I slept next to a WeatherRadio that will automatically turn on during storm alerts.

407 posted on 08/14/2004 10:37:10 AM PDT by js1138 (In a minute there is time, for decisions and revisions which a minute will reverse. J Forbes Kerry)
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To: js1138
Remember this post from yesterday? http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1190983/posts?page=445#445 I have a theory that something about the geography of Florida steers hurricaines away from Jacksonville. Every time I see Jacksonville in the center of a predicted path I predict the storm will hug the edge of the predicted path

It's dumb luck. A recent careful re-analysis of the early 1800s found that Jacksonville area was hit repeatedly by strong storms; of course, the area was lightly populated then. It WILL have somewhat fewer hits than, say, Miami or Hatteras over time, because of the coastal shape.

But the lack of hits this century is likely just dumb luck. Nobody from TX to NC in an area that hasn't been hit recently should kid themselves that there's some real "reason" they haven't been hit and assume it will continue in the future.

410 posted on 08/14/2004 10:42:23 AM PDT by Strategerist
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To: js1138

Hurricanes love WARM water. The warm waters of the gulf stream are 56 miles off shore from Jacksonville. Check out an insurance map of hurricane probability for an area getting hit. It is quite interesting...


474 posted on 08/14/2004 3:06:46 PM PDT by vidbizz
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