THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WILL MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR DAYTONA BEACH DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY MORNING.
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Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
I know! 35 of them. Still...
When that happened, remember how bad I thought it was, and my neighbors kept saying, "It wasn't as bad as Fran."
Not looking foward to that; they are calling for 20 to 40 MPH here tomorrow, but that's as of now.
But thousands of homes were split in two by the trees down in Fran. The damage took 2 years to clean up. Then Floyd hit. Similar but not as bad.
When I walked around my dad's neighborhood it looked like an atomic blast had struck. I was in shock. No power for about 2 weeks for him. (Powerlines not buried like ours are). It was God's mercy that spared his home and those of my siblings.
But this time - it is just too eerie.
Unless God has mercy again and pushes Charley out to sea!!! Let's pray for that!
If Charley brings 50-60 MPH winds to our area - major tree damage will occur and that means major home damage will occur. If Charley brings 80 MPH winds to our area - it will be devastating again - just like Fran.
And Floyd's winds were only 40 -45 MPH if I remember right and we still lost a big pine tree....so even winds that low will wreak some havoc.
I may evacuate....esp if the winds "howl" like they did before - don't think I can endure that again!
Similarly, the storm was moving ~20mph. Add that to the unfortunate areas getting blasted with 140+ mph winds on the SE side. Total devastation is completely understandable.
We had several close calls last year. My husband got tired of boarding up and down. The back patio window still covered. He refused to remove it until the Christmas tree came down. I got around to it in April. He said he might as well wait til this season over now:'(. We are building storm shutters)
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA ON THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ON THE
NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA COASTS NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO
CHINCOTEAGUE...INCLUDING THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH
POINT.
AT 11 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE IS
DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
JUPITER INLET TO COCOA BEACH FLORIDA.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WILL
MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR DAYTONA BEACH DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY
MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE THE CENTER OF CHARLEY MOVES BACK
OVER WATER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...MCCOY AIRPORT IN ORLANDO
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 77 MPH WITH A GUST OF 105 MPH. SANFORD
FLORIDA HAS RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 92 MPH.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA SHOULD SUBSIDE TONIGHT. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FT
IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF CHARLEY CROSSES THE
COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE
REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF
CHARLEY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL SOUTH
AND NORTH CAROLINA.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...29.1 N... 81.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
The absolute wind max at landfall was pretty small, and somewhat dodged the really heavily populated areas.
Eye is just about over the Atlantic beaches now, heading northeast..
Back over water!
We've been trying to phone friends in Cape Coral for hours now. We just get busy signals.
Daytona update: No electricity...WICKED WINDS...VERY BAD!!.....our house is BREATHING......More later...NBC Orlando says we are in the eye.....
Fran's last reported hurricane force winds came as it passed RDU. That was a fun night.
Worst of it will be the next 30 minutes!
THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WILL MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR DAYTONA BEACH DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY MORNING.
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What part of North Carolina are you in ?
What do you mean by breathing?
ROFL!!! Have you considered putting up a concrete wall where the patio window is--and painting a nice scenery mural? You could paint a new one for the different seasons, or world class destinations... The possibilities are endless. It could be a mood wall, and functional too.
;o)
Yikes! I'm praying for you.
Thanks.. my folks are in Sebring..
it's probably about the same there..the NOAA site still had it
under tornado watch..
THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WILL MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR DAYTONA BEACH DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY MORNING.
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Please get into a safe room. Grab a mattress.
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