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To: SunkenCiv

I'm not really much concerned any more about sKerry.

There have been so many faulty steps made by that "campaign" during the past two weeks that the remainder appears to be pretty well choreographed for the President. I have been saying I believe that the voting will be 52%-42%-6% , but if I'm wrong, the margin of victory for President Bush will be even greater.
.


17 posted on 08/05/2004 11:22:10 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: AFPhys
I agree. Here's a reprise of a post I made a month or so ago, emphasis mine:
'Scientific' view forecasts a big Bush win
Reuters
July 01, 2004
Polls may show the presidential race in a dead heat, but for a small band of academics who use scientific formulas to predict elections, President Bush is on his way to a sizable win... Most of these academics are predicting Bush, bolstered by robust economic growth, will win between 53 and 58 percent of the votes cast for him and his Democratic opponent John Kerry... But one glaring error is what the forecasters are perhaps best remembered for: They predicted in 2000 that Democrat Al Gore would win easily, pegging his total at between 53 and 60 percent of the two-party vote... The forecasters chalk up the 2000 error to Gore's campaign, which distanced itself from the Clinton record. All the models assume the candidates will run reasonably competent campaigns, said Thomas Holbrook, a professor at the University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee... Holbrook uses an economic indicator from the University of Michigan's survey of consumers. One question asks whether respondents are better or worse off financially than they were a year before. In May, 45 percent said they were better off. That is lower than the all-time election year high of 54 percent in 2000, Holbrook said, but higher than the 39 percent in 1996 when Clinton was re-elected.
I think it's safe to say that Kerry isn't running a reasonably competent campaign...
Richardson to Kerry: Don't pick me
The Associated Press
July 01, 2004
New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, one of the country's top Hispanic Democrats, on Thursday told John Kerry he no longer wants to be considered as a possible running mate. Richardson said he wants to keep a promise to the people of New Mexico to serve a full, four-year term... Other politicians who have been talked about are North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt, Florida Sen. Bob Graham and Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack, among others... Kerry was in Arizona to address a meeting of the National Council of La Raza, a Hispanic civil rights group.
To top it off, "La Raza" is a racist hate group.
Nader supporters give up Arizona ballot
The Associated Press
July 02, 2004
Independent candidate Ralph Nader, denied a spot on the Arizona ballot, on Friday accused the Democrats and presidential candidate John Kerry of engaging in political "dirty tricks." ...Nader complained that the Democratic Party has "stepped up its obstruction tendencies" in challenging his ballot access... The Kerry campaign dismissed Nader’s complaints, arguing that Democrats were following the rules when they legally challenged Nader’s signatures to get on the ballot... Nader’s campaign had submitted more than 22,000 signatures to Arizona election officials June 9 -- far more than the 14,694 valid signatures required by state law to compete against President Bush and Kerry... Two Democratic voters had filed a lawsuit last week, backed by the Arizona Democratic Party, questioning the validity of Nader’s nominating petitions and other documents. The Democrats argued that more than 70 percent of the signatures were invalid... Nader campaign attorney Richard Mahrle conceded there were "technical errors" in the ballot petition and said Nader would not contest the lawsuit... Nader and Kerry met in May, with the two offering compliments following the session. Whatever truce existed was clearly gone on Friday as Nader campaign spokesman Kevin Zeese warned Democrats about future ballot challenges... Nader has been endorsed by the Reform Party, which has ballot lines in at least seven states.

18 posted on 08/05/2004 11:30:07 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Unlike some people, I have a profile. Okay, maybe it's a little large...)
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