Gallup: Presidential Race Remains Close; No Convention Bounce (W 50%, Kerry 46%)

Gallup ^ | 8/1/04

[ambrose]

SOURCE:	Gallup Poll News Service
CONTACT INFORMATION:	Media Relations 1-202-715-3030 Subscriber Relations 1-888-274-5447 World Headquarters 901 F Street Washington, DC 20004

August 01, 2004 Presidential Race Remains Close; No Convention Bounce Bush slightly ahead among likely voters, Kerry among registered voters by David W. Moore

GALLUP NEWS SERVICE

PRINCETON, NJ -- A new CNN/USA Today/Gallup survey, conducted on Friday and Saturday following the Democratic Convention in Boston, finds that the presidential race remains close, with President George W. Bush receiving 50% support among likely voters, and Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry 47%. Among the larger group of registered voters, Kerry leads 50% to 47%.

Compared with the last CNN/USA Today/Gallup survey conducted before the convention (July 19-21), this post-convention poll shows that among likely voters, Kerry's support is actually two points lower than it was pre-convention, while Bush's support is three points higher. Among registered voters, Kerry's support in the current poll is one point higher than it was pre-convention, while Bush's support is also higher, by two points (the percentage of undecideds dropped in both groups).

For neither group of voters does the slight change in voter preferences, compared with a poll conducted shortly before the convention, favor Kerry. All of these changes are within the margin of error, meaning that we cannot be 95% certain that Bush gained on Kerry after the convention. However, clearly there is no convention bounce for Kerry.

Presidential Contest Pre- and Post-Democratic National Convention
	Kerry- Edwards

[hoosiermama]

Newsmax just up.....
here:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1183091/posts

[conservative in nyc]

Take a look at this --- President Bush's FIRM support increased as a result of the RAT Extreme Makeover Convention:

Intensity of Commitment to the Candidates Are you certain now that you will vote for [John Kerry/George W. Bush] for president next fall, or do you think you may change your mind between now and the November election?
	Vote for Kerry, certain	Vote for Kerry, may change mind	Vote for Bush, may change mind	Vote for Bush, certain	No opinion	NET:  "swing voters"
	%	%	%	%	%
Likely Voters
2004 Jul 30-31	42	5	5	45	3	13
2004 Jul 19-21	43	6	7	40	4	17

[Socratic]

"Musta been his hamster sucking story that turned people off.'

A poster yesterday used the term, "Hamster Hero." I think I'll start calling him this from now on. The mental image is both humorous and indicative of his service in some foreign land.

[Cosmo]

Maybe Kerry should bounce his hamster.

[EggsAckley]

Maybe it's just a stretch, but I kept trying to figure out what that pic reminded me of. And it finally hit me today. It reminds me of that famous photo of John Kennedy Jr. saluting at the funeral of his father. Eerie.........is he trying to look like the son of JFK?

Yeah yeah......it's a goofy analogy, but it's still creepy to me.

[SC Swamp Fox]

Dead Hamster Bounce Bump!

[badodo]

If Kerry got a medal for saving that Hamster, would he just throw it back?

[cajungirl]

I can just hear the pollster saying to the pollee I'M ONLY GONNA ASK YOU ONE MORE TIME SO LISTEN UP, ARE YOU GONNA VOTE FOR THE WARMONGER BUSH OR THE KIND, HERO JOHN KERRY

[EggsAckley]

[cajungirl]

two Americas in action!!! hysterical laughter here.

[EggsAckley]

LOL!!!

[Republican Wildcat]

LOL! I had forgotten about those. Most appropriate.

[Uncle Hal]

Gallop will keep polling until Kerry has the lead.

[cajungirl]

Lucianne called it his John-John moment. We ought to catalogue the number of times he ripped off someone else's moment. First with the walk on the fllor to the podium ripped off Jimmie Carter, then the "I am John Kerry" from Carter and so on. I kept getting dejavous hearing him thinking, where did I hear these words. He was a word salad of other's words.

[Wilhelm Tell]

Musta been his hamster sucking story that turned people off.

Maybe the gays were upset that Kerry didn't have an "inclusive" story about gerbils.

[DaBroasta]

If Kerry got a medal for saving that Hamster, would he just throw it back?

Is it true that John F-ing once pulled Richard Gere's gerbil to safety?

[EggsAckley]

Ah, so it ISN'T just me!! Thanks for letting me know. Now I don't feel so crazy. (taking off tin-foil body suit)

[latina4dubya]

is this the first poll where either candidate was at 50 percent or higher?

[Jhensy]

What will be remembered:

1. Kerry's embarrassing "reporting for duty" moment, and the ridiculous overkill of his phony Vietnam heroics.
2. Theresa Heinz Kerry.
3. Bunny suit.
4. Edwards' limp fizzle of a speech.
5. "Where are those f*cking balloons????!!!"
6. Michael Moore's fat face everywhere.

Short of biting the head off a rat onstage, about as bad a convention week as possible. Dumbasses.

[finnman69]

Apart from these factors, it is quite possible that the Democratic Presidential and Vice Presidential candidates are completely full of shiat and lacking any ideas for the future of the nation.