Replies

The USA today article is filled with spin. First of all, they report Newsweeks poll to counter their own poll, which is unprecedented.
The first line in their article says "John Kerry's ratings have improved on several important issues". What a joke! Then they say that it is the first time since George Mcgovern that a candidate got a negative bounce from their convention. But Mcgovern DID NOT get a negative bounce from his convention. Gallup himself said that Mcgovern got no bounce either way from the 1972 convention. The truth is that this poll is BIG NEWS: John Kerry is the first Presidential candidate EVER to go down in the polls during his convention.
USA today has sunk to new lows in sabotaging their own poll and their own story! After censoring Ann Coulter, USA today is right up there with NYTIMES on the liberal-bias meter

What do you expect to see for President Bush after the GOP Convention based upon the data that says there aren't many undecides and that maybe 90% or so are strongly committed to their candidate now...... any guesses?

Here's some info on previous convention bounces....

Convention Bounces
			Net Change
2000 Rep. Bounce	Bush +6	Gore -5	Bush +11
2000 Dem. Bounce	Gore +10	Bush -9	Gore +19

1996 Rep. Bounce	Dole +8	Clinton -7	Dole +15
1996 Dem. Bounce	Clinton +4	Dole -1	Clinton +5

1992 Dem. Bounce	Clinton +14	Bush -16	Clinton +30
1992 Rep. Bounce	Bush +6	Clinton -10	Bush +16

1988 Dem. Bounce	Dukakis +7	Bush -4	Dukakis +11
1988 Rep. Bounce	Bush +6	Dukakis -5	Bush +11

1984 Dem. Bounce	Mondale +9	Reagan -7	Mondale +16
1984 Rep. Bounce	Reagan +4	Mondale -4	Reagan +8

1980 Rep. Bounce	Reagan +8	Carter -5	Reagan +13
1980 Dem. Bounce	Carter +10	Reagan -7	Carter +17

1976 Dem. Bounce	Carter +9	Ford -7	Carter +16
1976 Rep. Bounce	Ford +4	Carter -3	Ford +7

1972 Dem. Bounce	McGovern 0	Nixon +3	McGovern -3
1972 Rep. Bounce	Nixon +7	McGovern -1	Nixon +8

1968 Rep. Bounce	Nixon +5	Humphrey -9	Nixon +14
1968 Dem. Bounce	Humphrey +2	Nixon -2	Humphrey +4

For consistency, these results are all among registered voters. 1992-2000 polls are from ABC News; 1968-88 polls are by Gallup. Earlier polls weren't done frequently enough to track the convention bounce reliably.