[kabar]

It may not be much as the public is very divided at this point and not a lot of undecides to swing.

The media and the Dems want to make it seem that it is evenly divided. In point of fact, it probably isn't close. America is not going to elect the most liberal senator from the most liberal state, no matter how the Dems try to disguise him. Kerry has a 20 year voting record and a lot of baggage including his antiwar activities with the radical VVAW and the image of an arrogant, out-of-touch gigolo who married a rich widow with an attitude and a foreign accent.

[deport]

In point of fact, it probably isn't close.

---

We'll know for sure come Nov. 2 about 8 pm EST...... This is a different environment this election than we've had in the past so who knows how things will break... I hope it isn't close and it may not be when you look at state by state once the GOP convention is over.

However polls from across the specturm have shown it close and 2000 ought to be remembered.

The month of July in review....

National 2004 Presidential Race Polls

3-Way Race
Bush/Cheney - Kerry/Edwards - Nader/Camejo

Key: LV = Likely Voters, RV = Registered Voters

Poll	Date	Bush/ Cheney	Kerry/ Edwards	Nader/ Camejo	Spread
RCP Average	7/22-7/31	46.7%	47.0%	2.7%	Kerry +0.3
CNN/Gallup/USAT (763 LV)	7/30-7/31	50%	46%	2%	Bush +4
Newsweek (1,010 RV)	7/29-7/30	42%	49%	3%	Kerry +7
ABC News/WP (909 RV)	7/22-7/25	48%	46%	3%	Bush +2
IBD/TIPP (883 RV)	7/19-7/24	42%	44%	3%	Kerry +2
Time/SRBI (1000 RV)	7/20-7/22	43%	46%	5%	Kerry +3
Quinnipiac Univ. (1551 RV)	7/18-7/22	43%	44%	4%	Kerry +1
Fox News (767 LV)	7/20-7/21	43%	44%	3%	Kerry +1
NBC/WSJ (813 RV)	7/19-7/21	47%	45%	2%	Bush +2
CNN/Gallup/USAT (709 LV)	7/19-7/21	46%	47%	4%	Kerry +1
LA Times (1,529 RV)	7/17-7/21	44%	46%	3%	Kerry +2
Pew (1,568 RV)	7/8-7/18	44%	46%	3%	Kerry +2
IBD/TIPP (842 RV)	7/12-7/17	40%	42%	4%	Kerry +2
Marist (938 RV)	7/12-7/15	44%	45%	2%	Kerry +1
CBS/NYT (823 RV)	7/11-7/15	42%	45%	5%	Kerry +3
Dem Corps** (1,010 LV)	7/10-7/13	45%	48%	4%	Kerry +3
Wash Post/ABC (721 RV)	7/8-7/11	46%	46%	4%	TIE
CNN/Gallup/USAT (706 LV)	7/8-7/11	45%	50%	2%	Kerry +5
IBD/TIPP (800 RV)	7/6-7/10	43%	47%	4%	Kerry +4
Newsweek (1,001 RV)	7/8-7/9	44%	47%	3%	Kerry +3
Time (774 LV)	7/6-7/8	45%	47%	4%	Kerry +2
Zogby (1008 LV)	7/6-7/7	45%	47%	2%	Kerry +2
AP/Ipsos (804 RV)	7/5-7/7	49%	45%	3%	Bush +4
NBC News (504 RV)	7/6	41%	49%	4%	Kerry +8