However polls from across the specturm have shown it close and 2000 ought to be remembered.
The month of July in review....
National 2004 Presidential Race Polls
3-Way Race
Bush/Cheney - Kerry/Edwards - Nader/CamejoKey: LV = Likely Voters, RV = Registered Voters
Poll Date Bush/
Cheney Kerry/
Edwards Nader/
Camejo Spread RCP Average 7/22-7/31 46.7% 47.0% 2.7% Kerry +0.3CNN/Gallup/USAT (763 LV) 7/30-7/31 50% 46% 2% Bush +4Newsweek (1,010 RV) 7/29-7/30 42% 49% 3%Kerry +7
ABC News/WP (909 RV) 7/22-7/25 48% 46% 3%Bush +2
IBD/TIPP (883 RV) 7/19-7/24 42% 44% 3%Kerry +2
Time/SRBI (1000 RV) 7/20-7/22 43% 46% 5%Kerry +3
Quinnipiac Univ. (1551 RV) 7/18-7/22 43% 44% 4%Kerry +1
Fox News (767 LV) 7/20-7/21 43% 44% 3%Kerry +1
NBC/WSJ (813 RV) 7/19-7/21 47% 45% 2% Bush +2CNN/Gallup/USAT (709 LV) 7/19-7/21 46% 47% 4% Kerry +1 7/17-7/21 44% 46% 3%Kerry +2
Pew (1,568 RV) 7/8-7/18 44% 46% 3%Kerry +2
IBD/TIPP (842 RV) 7/12-7/17 40% 42% 4%Kerry +2
Marist (938 RV) 7/12-7/15 44% 45% 2%Kerry +1
CBS/NYT (823 RV) 7/11-7/15 42% 45% 5%Kerry +3
Dem Corps** (1,010 LV) 7/10-7/13 45% 48% 4% Kerry +3Wash Post/ABC (721 RV) 7/8-7/11 46% 46% 4% TIECNN/Gallup/USAT (706 LV) 7/8-7/11 45% 50% 2% Kerry +5 7/6-7/10 43% 47% 4% Kerry +4Newsweek (1,001 RV) 7/8-7/9 44% 47% 3% Kerry +3Time (774 LV) 7/6-7/8 45% 47% 4% Kerry +2Zogby (1008 LV) 7/6-7/7 45% 47% 2% Kerry +2AP/Ipsos (804 RV) 7/5-7/7 49% 45% 3% Bush +4NBC News (504 RV) 7/6 41% 49% 4% Kerry +8
Historically, there have not been two close elections in a row since the 1880s. Gore was an incumbent VP with peace and prosperity. Bush was a relative unknown on the national level save his father's name. As an incumbent wartime President with a recovering economy, Bush now holds the advantage. His margin will be greater in the electoral college than the popular vote, but he should win easily as long as the turnout is reasonable. The only fly in the ointment is Iraq and another 9/11 like terrorist attack. I don't pay much attention to the polls until after Labor Day.
No wonder half of balloons refused to come down. That did it!
No wonder half of balloons refused to come down. That did it!