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To: kabar
In point of fact, it probably isn't close.
We'll know for sure come Nov. 2 about 8 pm EST...... This is a different environment this election than we've had in the past so who knows how things will break... I hope it isn't close and it may not be when you look at state by state once the GOP convention is over.

However polls from across the specturm have shown it close and 2000 ought to be remembered.

The month of July in review....

National 2004 Presidential Race Polls

3-Way Race
Bush/Cheney - Kerry/Edwards - Nader/Camejo

Key: LV = Likely Voters, RV = Registered Voters

Poll
Date
Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Nader/
Camejo
Spread
RCP Average
7/22-7/31
46.7%
47.0%
2.7%
Kerry +0.3
CNN/Gallup/USAT (763 LV)
7/30-7/31
50%
46%
2%
Bush +4
Newsweek (1,010 RV)
7/29-7/30
42%
49%
3%

Kerry +7

ABC News/WP (909 RV)
7/22-7/25
48%
46%
3%

Bush +2

IBD/TIPP (883 RV)
7/19-7/24
42%
44%
3%

Kerry +2

Time/SRBI (1000 RV)
7/20-7/22
43%
46%
5%

Kerry +3

Quinnipiac Univ. (1551 RV)
7/18-7/22
43%
44%
4%

Kerry +1

Fox News (767 LV)
7/20-7/21
43%
44%
3%

Kerry +1

NBC/WSJ (813 RV)
7/19-7/21
47%
45%
2%
Bush +2
CNN/Gallup/USAT (709 LV)
7/19-7/21
46%
47%
4%
Kerry +1
7/17-7/21
44%
46%
3%

Kerry +2

Pew (1,568 RV)
7/8-7/18
44%
46%
3%

Kerry +2

IBD/TIPP (842 RV)
7/12-7/17
40%
42%
4%

Kerry +2

Marist (938 RV)
7/12-7/15
44%
45%
2%

Kerry +1

CBS/NYT (823 RV)
7/11-7/15
42%
45%
5%

Kerry +3

Dem Corps** (1,010 LV)
7/10-7/13
45%
48%
4%
Kerry +3
Wash Post/ABC (721 RV)
7/8-7/11
46%
46%
4%
TIE
CNN/Gallup/USAT (706 LV)
7/8-7/11
45%
50%
2%
Kerry +5
7/6-7/10
43%
47%
4%
Kerry +4
Newsweek (1,001 RV)
7/8-7/9
44%
47%
3%
Kerry +3
Time (774 LV)
7/6-7/8
45%
47%
4%
Kerry +2
Zogby (1008 LV)
7/6-7/7
45%
47%
2%
Kerry +2
AP/Ipsos (804 RV)
7/5-7/7
49%
45%
3%
Bush +4
NBC News (504 RV)
7/6
41%
49%
4%
Kerry +8
 


76 posted on 08/01/2004 2:38:37 PM PDT by deport (Please Flush the Johns......)
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To: deport

Historically, there have not been two close elections in a row since the 1880s. Gore was an incumbent VP with peace and prosperity. Bush was a relative unknown on the national level save his father's name. As an incumbent wartime President with a recovering economy, Bush now holds the advantage. His margin will be greater in the electoral college than the popular vote, but he should win easily as long as the turnout is reasonable. The only fly in the ointment is Iraq and another 9/11 like terrorist attack. I don't pay much attention to the polls until after Labor Day.


77 posted on 08/01/2004 2:56:55 PM PDT by kabar
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To: deport

No wonder half of balloons refused to come down. That did it!


80 posted on 08/01/2004 3:00:10 PM PDT by Leo Carpathian (Vote the RATS out!!!)
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To: deport

No wonder half of balloons refused to come down. That did it!


81 posted on 08/01/2004 3:00:19 PM PDT by Leo Carpathian (Vote the RATS out!!!)
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