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BLESSING IN DISGUISE Five reasons why some on the right might secretly welcome a Kerry victory
Houston Chronicle ^ | JOHN MICKLETHWAIT and ADRIAN WOOLDRIDGE

Posted on 08/01/2004 5:39:30 AM PDT by TomDoniphon68

One of the secrets of conservative America is how often it has welcomed Republican defeats. In 1976, many conservatives saw the trouncing of the moderate Gerald Ford as a way of clearing the path for the ideologically pure Ronald Reagan in 1980. In November 1992, George H.W. Bush's defeat provoked celebrations not just in Little Rock, where the Clintonites danced around to Fleetwood Mac, but also in some corners of conservative America.

"Oh yeah, man, it was fabulous," recalled Tom DeLay, the hard-line congressman from Sugar Land, Texas, who had feared another "four years of misery" fighting the urge to cross his party's too-liberal leader. At the Heritage Foundation, a group of right-wingers called the Third Generation conducted a bizarre rite involving a plastic head of the deposed president on a platter decorated with blood-red crepe paper.

There is no chance that Republicans would welcome the son's defeat in the same way they rejoiced at the father's. George W. is much more conservative than George H.W., and he has gone out of his way to throw red meat to each faction of the right: tax cuts for the anti-government conservatives, opposition to gay marriage and abortion for the social conservatives and the invasion of Iraq for the neoconservatives. Still, there are five good reasons why, in a few years, some on the right might look on a John Kerry victory as a blessing in disguise.

First, President Bush hasn't been as conservative as some would like. Small-government types fume that he has increased discretionary government spending faster than Bill Clinton. Buchananite paleoconservatives, libertarians and Nelson Rockefeller-style internationalists are all furious -- for their very different reasons -- about Bush's "war of choice" in Iraq. Even some neocons are irritated by his conduct of that war -- particularly his failure to supply enough troops to make the whole enterprise work.

The second reason conservatives might cheer a Bush defeat is to achieve a foreign-policy victory. The Bush foreign-policy team hardly lacks experience, but its reputation has been tainted -- by infighting, by bungling in Iraq and by the rows with Europe. For better or worse, many conservatives may conclude that Kerry, who has accepted most of the main tenets of Bush's policy of pre-emption, stands a better chance than Bush of increasing international involvement in Iraq, of winning support for Washington's general war on terror and even of forcing reform at the United Nations. After all, could Jacques, Gerhard and the rest of those limp-wristed continentals say no to a man who speaks fluent French and German and has just rid the world of the Toxic Texan?

The third reason for the right to celebrate a Bush loss comes in one simple word: gridlock. Gridlock is a godsend to some conservatives -- it's a proven way to stop government spending. A Kerry administration is much more likely to be gridlocked than a second Bush administration because the Republicans look sure to hang on to the House and have a better-than-even chance of keeping control of the Senate.

The fourth reason has to do with regeneration. Some conservatives think the Republican Party -- and the wider conservative movement -- needs to rediscover its identity. Is it a "small government" party, or does "big government conservatism" make sense? Is it the party of big business or of free markets? Under Bush, Western anti-government conservatives have generally lost ground to Southern social conservatives, and pragmatic internationalists have been outmaneuvered by neoconservative idealists. A period of bloodletting might help, returning a stronger party to the fray.

And that is the fifth reason why a few conservatives might welcome a November Bush-bashing: the certain belief that they will be back, better than ever, in 2008. The conservative movement has an impressive record of snatching victory from the jaws of defeat. Ford's demise indeed helped to power the Reagan landslide; "Poppy" Bush's defeat set up the Gingrich revolution. In four years, many conservatives believe, President Kerry could limp to destruction at the hands of somebody like Colorado Gov. Bill Owens.

When the British electorate buried President Bush's hero, Winston Churchill, and his Conservative Party, Lady Churchill stoically suggested the "blessing in disguise" idea to her husband. He replied that the disguise seemed pretty effective. Yet the next few years vindicated Lady Churchill's judgment. The Labor Party, working with Harry S. Truman, put into practice the anti-communist containment policies that Churchill had championed. So in 1951, the Conservative Party could return to office with an important piece of its agenda already in place and in a far fitter state than it had been six years earlier. It held office for the next 13 years.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: conservatives; gangaabuse; wishfulthinking
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1 posted on 08/01/2004 5:39:32 AM PDT by TomDoniphon68
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To: TomDoniphon68

2 posted on 08/01/2004 5:42:48 AM PDT by Diogenesis (Re: Protection from up on high, Keyser Sose has nothing on Sandy Berger, the DNC Burglar)
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To: TomDoniphon68
Uh, huh. Yep. Sure thing.


$710.96... The price of freedom.

3 posted on 08/01/2004 5:42:58 AM PDT by rdb3 (REPUBLICAN as of July 23, 2004. I have my blueprint now!)
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To: Diogenesis
A Bush hit piece in poorly-executed disguise.

Leni

4 posted on 08/01/2004 5:44:41 AM PDT by MinuteGal (Stop Global Whining)
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To: TomDoniphon68
This is just nonsense.

There aren't many conservatives out there that think like this. (Most do see Kerry as a danger to this country's security.)

We have been attacked. All that garbage goes right out the window.

More tripe from the left.

5 posted on 08/01/2004 5:44:52 AM PDT by Northern Yankee (Freedom Needs A Soldier!)
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To: MinuteGal
A Bush hit piece in poorly-executed disguise.

BINGO!

6 posted on 08/01/2004 5:46:23 AM PDT by Northern Yankee (Freedom Needs A Soldier!)
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To: Northern Yankee

I would rather rip my toenails off with rusty pliars than watch a president Kerry on TV for 4 years.


7 posted on 08/01/2004 5:48:01 AM PDT by buffyt (If anyone is SERIOUS about marriage being between ONE man and ONE woman, there should be NO DIVORCE.)
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To: TomDoniphon68

Another liberal tries to convince Republicans to abandon their President. I'll stick with the "bird in hand" theory.


8 posted on 08/01/2004 5:48:24 AM PDT by counterpunch (The CouNTeRPuNcH Collection - www.counterpunch.us)
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To: counterpunch
Sounds like nothing more than wishful thinking from the left.
9 posted on 08/01/2004 5:49:34 AM PDT by No Blue States
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To: TomDoniphon68

It's amazing how many leftists are buying into the fantasy of conservatives secretly hoping for a Kerry victory. If history is any guide, this is yet another projection - i.e. there are legions of supposed Kerry supporters secretly hoping for a Bush victory (which makes a lot more sense).


10 posted on 08/01/2004 5:50:54 AM PDT by thoughtomator (John Kerry reporting for duty - making sure that nobody interferes with Hillary's run in 2008)
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To: No Blue States

I don't believe for a second Tom Delay said that. Or if he did, he was being sarcastic. Give me a break...


11 posted on 08/01/2004 5:52:27 AM PDT by badmrbunny
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To: TomDoniphon68


Although I most of this article is crap (Gridlock isn't the end of the world for us), I will say one thing..


Republicans and Conservatism will survive if Kerry wins.

Democratcs and Liberalism may very well die (or atleast the beginning of the end) when Bush wins. They will be shattered and splintered for decades to come when Bush wins.


#2 is definently GREAT :).

But it's devastatingly important that we hold solid control of the House and Senate.

Kerry + Dem House/Dem Senate is a disaster that may very well bring an end and destroy this glorious civiliation our fore-fathers have built for us.


That being said.. Let's go Bush!


12 posted on 08/01/2004 5:52:30 AM PDT by Josh in PA
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To: TomDoniphon68
This is a repost, and I disagree as much with it now as I did when it first reared its head.

No one can point to any "conservative" with perhaps the exception of the ultra-right John Birchesque types who equate George Bush with Ted Kennedy that would celebrate a Kerry win.

13 posted on 08/01/2004 5:54:21 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I'm so glad to no longer be associated with the Party of Dependence on Government!)
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Comment #14 Removed by Moderator

To: TomDoniphon68

I saw our President in person yesterday (Pittsburgh rally). I am happy to report that the level of energy and excitement was higher than I've ever observed before for a politician. The base is definitely motivated, conservatives will work harder for his reelection than for any election in memory.

Now if he'd turn back on that silly the "we're turning the corner . . . " slogan!


15 posted on 08/01/2004 5:57:05 AM PDT by Dr. Juris
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To: Northern Yankee
More tripe from the left.

Posted by a "FReeper" with an agenda.


$710.96... The price of freedom.

16 posted on 08/01/2004 5:57:31 AM PDT by rdb3 (REPUBLICAN as of July 23, 2004. I have my blueprint now!)
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To: TomDoniphon68

Like taking your car in for a tune-up and having the mechanic take a sledge hammer to the engine so you can have the privilage of buying a new car later?


17 posted on 08/01/2004 5:57:51 AM PDT by Shooter 2.5 (Vote a Straight Republican Ballot. Rid the country of dems.)
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To: TomDoniphon68

Conservativisim 'snatches victory from the jaws of defeat' so oftem because LIBRALISIM ALWAYS SCREWS EVERYTHING UP!

Since they have the press on their side they will never be held to account for their policies MASSIVE failures, and so they get another shot.

Though, to be honest i believe if they get in in Nov. any failures will be so huge that they will finally be associated with the level of 'success' that they actually deserve.

The only problem being that a decently large swath of America my be a smoking ruin.

Don't kid yourself, this election is as important as they come--I'd LOVE to vote for someone other than Bush on the purity angle but I'm voteing for Dubya on the sanity angle.


18 posted on 08/01/2004 5:58:00 AM PDT by TalBlack
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To: TomDoniphon68

As Bob Dole might say: "Only Bob Dole is Bob Dole. The current President is no Bob Dole. That's what Bob Dole thinks."


19 posted on 08/01/2004 5:58:15 AM PDT by eno_ (Freedom Lite, it's almost worth defending.)
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To: TomDoniphon68

The Houston Barnicle is one of the most liberal newspapers around and is losing subscribers every day. The editor in chief thought they could change the look of the paper and then it would stop their bleeding. It looks worse and it will keep losing subscribers.

Wishful thinking from the Barnicle.


20 posted on 08/01/2004 5:58:22 AM PDT by truthandlife ("Some trust in chariots and some in horses, but we trust in the name of the LORD our God." (Ps 20:7))
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