I've been trumpeting a similar thing for the last several weeks to my not-hopeless-liberal acquaintances. I'm going to go a bit further than Tator, though, and say that President Bush, in the end, will have a ten point edge on sKerry. Nader will gain several points tonight that he will not lose. Kerry will gain a bit on Bush tonight, but that will evaporate. The economy and Iraq will work well as issues for the President, and now that their big convention is over, the other stuff will really start to settle in against the Demodogs: including Berger, Wilson, "the 16 words", the hatefulness campaign, the inevitable triumphs in the WoT like the terrorist capture in Pakistan, and even the TeleKerry bunny suit photos.
Bush 52 sKerry 42 Nader 6.
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But he's sticking to it and says that it's Bush by 54 to 40 something.