"Since the G8 was uneventful...and Reagan's memories were honored pretty much uneventful...I'm confident in saying, nothing but speculatory events until October. International? Don't know. Domestic. I'm now sure."
We have to get through today first. After that, there are at least five major targets in the next 90 days. And as I wrote in a post a day or two ago, the Iraqi transition holds much more importance to them than our election.
While they have policy preferences as far as an American election outcome, I don't think they have individual preferences. They see the difference between Bush and Kerry as we see the difference between Zawahiri and Zarqawi. To them, we are all infidels.
They care about American public opinion and policy, not the officeholders themselves or the political parties. I doubt they are pulling for Kerry to be the first "Jewish" President.
They *are* pulling for an antiwar movement to develop. If they can send home enough bodybags this summer and create some here as well, to sour us on the war, then that would motivate them.
I would not breathe easy. For them, June 30th matters more than November 2nd. This war is not about us. For them, it is about control of the Mideast. At this phase of the global jihad, we matter to them only as far as we stand as an obstacle to their conquest of the region.
>>>>For them, June 30th matters more than November 2nd.
I said domestically, not internationally.
>>>While they have policy preferences as far as an American election outcome, I don't think they have individual preferences. They see the difference between Bush and Kerry as we see the difference between Zawahiri and Zarqawi. To them, we are all infidels.
Yes we are all infidels. But that is not true about the election outcome.
>>>>They *are* pulling for an antiwar movement to develop.
Agreed! Hence they don't want Bush reelected.
Agreed.
I certainly don't think they are going to avoid trying devastating attacks to get Kerry in office.
1) There are plenty of loose canons eager to cause devastating deaths regardless of whatever level of sophisticated awareness may be at the upper levels.
2) Even the Al Qaeda with enough smarts and awareness to realize some of the cultural implications and nuances to result from massive attacks prior to the election--I believe they STILL THINK THE DEATHS OF INFIDELS WOULD BE MORE THAN WORTH WHATEVER RISK ABOUT BUSH STAYING IN POWER.
imho.