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To: Regulator

Perhaps you are deluded enough to believe that it is about NOTHING BUT oil, and that what I had to say about oil versus alternatives was either incorrect or irrelevant. Crude oil will be the fuel for 95% or more of the world's transportation for many years to come. We are a western, Christian country, and will not transform ourselves into what the Islamists want in order to beg for their oil. But we will, and we do, pay the market price for it.

Nobody knows what form any new technology might take, which is exactly what I said - although I mentioned several possibilities. Do you have the answers to the questions I raised? Real answers, not just guesses based on wishful thinking? Research and development is needed, along with the time to get it done.

Oil's replacement might just turn out to be synthesized petroleum instead of hydrogen. Or perhaps we will learn to extract and process Canadian tar sands, an immense resource pool that dwarfs Middle East oil. But the kind of supersized, multicycle nuclear facility I mentioned has never been designed, and that task will take years if it is ever done.


61 posted on 05/26/2004 8:01:07 PM PDT by MainFrame65
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To: MainFrame65
Perhaps you are deluded enough to believe that it is about NOTHING BUT oil, and that what I had to say about oil versus alternatives was either incorrect or irrelevant

Actually, no, but you said that it was a small thing. It's not. It's the major thing, and it should be. National interest should be the only determining factor in doing things like invading other countries. If it isn't, then everyone in the Capitol is stark raving mad.

Crude oil will be the fuel for 95% or more of the world's transportation for many years to come

Probably, but largely due to the inertia of such a prevalent technology and the willingness of the various governments to actually go to war over it. And because there may be more oil around then previously thought, and because engineering efforts to improve overall efficiency has and will produce improvements (specific fuel consumption, mass of an equivalent vehicle, combined cycle engines, etc), which will allow less oil to be used for the same amount of activity or the same amount of oil but with increased activity.

We are a western, Christian country, and will not transform ourselves into what the Islamists want in order to beg for their oil

Not for long if illegal and legal immigration keep up at the current rates.

Real answers, not just guesses based on wishful thinking?

The standard retort. It's all just wishful thinking, right? Something as simple as running a vehicle on gaseous hydrogen has been around for decades. It's not "wishful thinking" in that it physically can't work. It's merely not "optimal", at least under the current assumptions. There are a zillion different flavors of alternative vehicles and methods, all of which require a change in the assumption set containing range, size, overall cost, etc. Hard to compete against the economies of scale currently enjoyed by the existing technology, especially when it is subsidized.

What is happening now has almost nothing to do with the 'science' of 'How do we do it', but rather the systems engineering problem of 'which way is best?'. That's the real answer.

Or perhaps we will learn to extract and process Canadian tar sands

Oh yeah. The Athabascan fields. Which is already turning into Synfuels the Remake. Hey, I was there for the first movie. It was hilarious. But a lot of people out in Vernal and Craig made some money. Whatever.

But the kind of supersized, multicycle nuclear facility I mentioned has never been designed, and that task will take years if it is ever done

Don't worry, be happy. Inertial confinement will save us all, right?

62 posted on 05/27/2004 4:39:12 PM PDT by Regulator
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