[jveritas]

Prove that in these nine polls Kerry is averaging 51.9%!!!!!!! This is the second time I see you posting this.

[KQQL]

My 2 cents: Don't get mad @ me, get Glade.

That's my formula: per what Mathew Dowd ( W's Pollster) said how approval ratings determine actual votes.
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[KQQL]

If W's Average Approval Rating after Labor Day (Dem or GOP polls don't count) remains at or is higher than 48.5%, W will win PERIOD !

However, if W's Average Approval Rating after Labor Day(Dem or GOP polls don't count) remains lower than 48.5%, W will lose.
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The max W will get over his average approval rating in a 2 way race is 1%.

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My 2 cents: Don't get mad @ me, get Glade.