There have been 13 major "insurgencies/insurrections" since 1945, most of them far better supported by the USSR than the Islamofascists are. Of these 13, the "government" has won 10. In other words, these inurgencies don't usually work . . .
HOWEVER each of these took at least 5 years, and some 10, to win.
The natural yearning for every human heart is liberty, and the Iraqis are no different.
The problem with your analysis is that this is not an "insurgency" we are facing in Iraq.
I would also point out that some of the insurgencies you mentioned that were won by the "government" were Iraqi insurrections that were put down by Saddam Hussein himself. Do you consider these cases to be good examples of "success?"
I really like the first part of your comment -- I hadn't thought of our conflict in that way, but I think you make a good point.
If I may, I'd like to respectfully disagree just a little with your second paragraph. I was commenting on exactly this point earlier today in another thread, about whether people "naturally" gravitate toward liberty. I'd love to know if you have any reaction. If you'd be willing to take a look, my comment is #11 on this thread.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1127313/posts