[StillProud2BeFree]

I think all of you know I do not hit the panic button easily. I think this threat is something to take very seriously. If you take a look at the historical perspective of the patterns of attacks, there are some very serious things coinciding here. The only blip in the pattern was the absence of attacks over Christmas. I firmly believe that is because attacks were stopped.

I've read some very ominous messages today on the jihad forums regarding 3 days and 72 hours. I'm seeing phrases that I've NEVER seen before except in the declassified intercepts preceding 9-11.

This may be absolutely nothing. And if it is something our authorities may certainly be able to stop it.

But I will be keeping my eyes open for anything unusual especially over the next few days.

(Yes, I've made sure the stuff I've found has been passed to the appropriate law enforcement officials.)

[Velveeta]

I'm seeing phrases that I've NEVER seen before except in the declassified intercepts preceding 9-11.

Do you have time to share some examples of these phrases?

[judicial meanz]

I concur with you StillProud. There is definitely some wild stuff out there right now. Lots of Jihad forums raising cain.

Daleel just posted his supposed "final Warning number 4" to the US Administration detailing terms.

Liz: I cant seem to find a copy of Zawahiris speech in its entirity. There are only bits and scraps of it the press deemed newsworthy, and I imagine Daleels references are in that portion.

[Revel]

Thanks for your post. I was really wondering what you finding. I Wish I could be more prepaired. You sound pretty worried.
I hope they are just pulling our chain again or that they will be caught. Please keep us informed!

[swarthyguy]

References to Big Meal, Weddings, Brides, Grooms, Candles and Cakes?

[Iron Eagle]

Well -- there sure is a ton of interesting posts, news and chatter. Of course, we have been here before.

I give the following analysis with the caveat that I truly believe 72, 96, 192, and 50000, hours from now, we will still be just fine. But, if I am wrong, this might be the target, if not the time.

I am not aware of the President's travel over the next three days, but I believe the "raise your defenses" means they are coming after Bush where he lives, in DC. After all, DC is the heart and Capital of our Country and the free world. In addition, a strike here is a strike at all non-radical countries. After all, no Jihadists have an embassy here -- they are all outlaws.

Also, the threat of destruction to our cities is probably meant to mean a major city. This is also for recruiting consumption. Thus, our Capital and the home of our Government and President would be key.

Based on the chatter repeated here, I think the attack will involve a small nuclear device. (Fire and destruction would be consistent with this, and frankly they probably have not the means to deliver, on a widespread basis, a chemical attack.)

I did say earlier on thread three, that to maximize effectiveness, the strike would hit a City pre-afternoon rush, on a weekday other than Monday or Friday, to maximize death. That would make Thursday a prime target in the window of time.

So -- if they have such a weapon, the real questions we should be considering are its size and blast radius. My limited understanding of the likely weapons they posses are that they are "suitcase" in nature, and involve explosive power to a range of 8-10 City blocks. (That would be some unbelievable hit) I don't know much about fallout, aftershock, concussion waves, etc, but all those would have to factor in.

In my mind, the indicator or tip off might be one of more "major accidents" on significant arteries surrounding major metro centers such as DC. The smallest accident or bad weather can bring DC metro traffic to a complete halt.

More than once I have wondered if taker accidents or the like in the area are pre-events, meant to prevent mass evacuation.

For those of us in the close in burbs to these metro centers, we have to be concerned. Info on blast rates, coverage, fall-out, effect on motors and electricity, are all issues about which we better know. My home is 5 miles, as the crow flies, from Center of DC. (Effective tonight, we will have a car packed and a secondary westward route planned for escape, provided the survival of the blast. My goal will be to out run any fallout, assuming, as I think I am safe to do, that westerly prevailing winds will shield me somewhat, as I am due west from the City.)

Anyway, as I stated from the beginning, I am skeptical about all this, but I am smart enough to plan, and plan I will.

So -- what have we on blasts and fallout?

[Domestic Church]

"The only blip in the pattern was the absence of attacks over Christmas."

Ash Wednesday just happens to be the 25th as well. I hope somebody in homeland security thinks to check out the Churches tomorrow.

[JustPiper]

Anything you can share? Also when did this 72 hour period begin?