Nine months is a long, long time.
Immigration could kill him.
COMPARATIVE DATA
NEWSWEEK POLL 1/8-9/04
sampling: ADULTS
[. . . results always on the low side relative to other polls; NEVER publishes its topline stats so we can't determine how they weight their polling data. That said, Newsweek's polling results both TIE their 'post-Saddam bump' poll in December and EXCEED all other poll results since August.]
RASMUSSEN/SCOTT POLL 1/9-11/04 -- MOST RECENT OF THE POLLS
sampling: LIKELY VOTERS
GWB job approval: 57% (poll at beginning of January had job approval at 55%)
[89% of Republicans/50% of Independents/31% of Democrats
60% in red states/53% in blue states]
FOX NEWS/OPINION DYNAMICS POLL 1/7-8/04
sampling: REGISTERED VOTERS
GWB job approval: 58% (highest rating since early September)
[86% of Republicans (same as last month)/57% of Independents/29% of Democrats]
GWB likability: 63% like 21% dislike (+42)
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,107941,00.html AP/IPSOS-REID POLL 1/5-7/04
sampling: REGISTERED VOTERS
GWB job approval: 56%
[other than post-Saddam bump poll, highest rating since August]
UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA ANNENBERG POLL 12/16/03-1/5/04
[interviewed 3,243 adults // boasts smallest margin of error of ALL polls cited here at +/- 2]
GWB job approval: 63%
CONTEXT: At this point in his presidency, Bill Clinton had a Gallup job approval rating of 42% (vs GWB's 60%)!
Newsweek poll you can add 10% to it and be just about rite.