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To: zencat
Once Dean wins Iowa and New Hampshire, his support in every state will go up at least 10 points-- meaning that being neck and neck with Dean isn't good enough in those February and March states. Clark has to be up 10 points in these states just to be tied with Dean after he gets these big wins in January.
39 posted on 01/09/2004 11:43:48 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative ("Howard Dean is incontrovertible proof that God is on Bush's side in the 2004 election"- Dick Morris)
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Clark has to be up 10 points in these states just to be tied with Dean after he gets these big wins in January.

Of course if some of the other folks are knocked out, Clark may pick up their non-Dean or anti-Dean votes, which could offset that.

I think in some places, like South Carolina, Dean can only reach a certain ceiling, beyond which it'll be all anti-Dean (at least with white voters).

46 posted on 01/09/2004 12:09:56 PM PST by JohnnyZ (I pity the fool who thinks Bush's proposal is the same as amnesty!)
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