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I saw Fred Barnes on the Special Report panel a couple weeks ago briefly mention the (so-called) AWB, and he seemed to think it was a "fringe" issue that would have absolutely no brearing on the upcoming election.

Yeah, it will stay a "fringe" issue and have no bearing on the election IF it sunsets on schedule. It won't mean a thing if Bush gets re-elected by a 60/40 margin. That could happen given his performance in the last years. However, if its as close as the election of 2000, then he can't afford to piss off even 1% of his core constituency. I figure there are about 1 million hard-core RKBA advocates and 'gun nuts' that take their gun rights very, very seriously. There is perhaps another 5 million who are for the RKBA, but are not hard core about not compromising some of their ability to own firearms. (There are many more gun pwners in the country, but most are "casual" gun owners). Still, a million P.O.'ed voters could make a difference. I'm betting that the Pres is a smart man; he better hope that his colleagues in the House (and maybe the Senate) don't send him an omnibus bill with a new, improved version of the AW ban appended.