Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Greenspan Delivers Upbeat Forecast on Economy and Jobs (Democrats being sent to ICU)
Newsmax ^ | 11/6/03

Posted on 11/06/2003 9:34:43 AM PST by areafiftyone

WASHINGTON - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan delivered an upbeat assessment of economic prospects, saying Thursday the odds "increasingly favor" a revival in job growth.

However, he warned about long-term threats posed by the soaring federal budget deficit. If that red ink is not brought under control by the time Baby Boomers start retiring, it could have "notable, destabilizing effects" on prospects for growth in the future, he said.

In the debate over how to fix the deficit problem, Greenspan sided with President Bush and the Republicans, who argue that government spending should be cut to deal with the deficit rather than raising taxes.

On the economy, Greenspan cited a number of favorable recent developments pointing to stronger economic growth and said that even the job market, which has continued to shed jobs this year, seems to be finally turning around.

"The odds ... increasingly favor a revival in job creation," Greenspan said in a speech to the Securities Industry Association. He cited such hopeful signs as the need of businesses to replace inventories, which have dropped to extremely low levels, given the strong buying spree consumers went on during the third quarter.

Low Risk of Inflation

The Federal Reserve has left a key short-term interest rate it controls at a 45-year low of 1 percent. Greenspan repeated on Thursday assurances that the central bank would not feel the need to quickly start raising interests rates at the first signs of economic growth.

Greenspan said that unlike earlier periods of recovery, inflationary pressures were still non-existent. "In these circumstances, monetary policy is able to be more patient," Greenspan said in remarks delivered by satellite to the securities conference in Boca Raton, Fla.

Greenspan noted that consumer inflation was running around 1 percent, such a low level that the central bank still believes that the remote possibility that the country could face a destabilizing bout of deflation, falling prices, outweighs the risks of higher inflation.

Greenspan said the situation was far different from past U.S. history in which, even after recessions, inflation remained at higher levels than the Fed wanted to see.

"As a consequence, with some risk to economic activity, monetary policy typically had to move aggressively in the uncertain early stages of past economic recoveries to ensure that inflation would be contained," Greenspan said.

The Fed chairman said the "relatively optimistic short-term outlook for the U.S. economy" was playing out against a growing concern in financial markets about the surging federal budget deficit.

The Need to Cut Spending

He said it was critical for Congress and the administration to address this problem. He again urged the reinstatement of budget rules that require any future tax increases to be offset by either spending cuts or increases in other taxes. He urged reinstatement of caps on the amount that discretionary government spending could rise in any year.

Greenspan said the nation's budget problems would become even more acute in just five years, when the first wave of Baby Boomers hits the age of 62, the time when about half of prospective Social Security beneficiaries choose to retire early even though it means taking reduced benefits.

The Danger of Democrat Tax Increases

While Democrats have blamed much of the budget woes on Bush's tax cuts, Greenspan cautioned against relying on increased taxes to reduce the deficit.

"Tax increases of sufficient dimension to deal with our looming fiscal problems arguably pose significant risks to economic growth and the revenue base," he said.

Greenspan said that it was difficult to estimate the magnitude of these risks but that they were of enough concern to warrant reducing the budget deficit "primarily, if not wholly, from outlay restraint."


TOPICS: Breaking News; Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: bushrecovery; greenspan; jobmarket
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-64 next last
To: areafiftyone
Sounds like Greenspan is going to be sleeping on the couch tonight...
41 posted on 11/06/2003 11:01:22 AM PST by Diddle E. Squat (www.firemackbrown.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arrowhead1952
I just love this cartoon.....

Here's Gebhart's version..

 

42 posted on 11/06/2003 11:06:47 AM PST by expat_panama
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: harpseal
Add me to your list to please.
43 posted on 11/06/2003 11:09:21 AM PST by expat_panama
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: BureaucratusMaximus
Is Greenspan turning into a small, accountable government conservative? Or is it small talk?

Greenspan has always been that way. The liberal media tried to portray him as otherwise during the Clinton years despite his protestations. Remember, that he came up through the ranks at the Fed because of Ronald Reagan. He's no Rat like Bob Rubin or Robert "Third" Reich.

44 posted on 11/06/2003 11:09:32 AM PST by GulliverSwift (Howard Dean is the doppelganger of the Joker, only more insane.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: areafiftyone
offset by either spending cuts or increases decreases in other taxes...
45 posted on 11/06/2003 11:14:16 AM PST by SoulStorms
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: expat_panama
Good one.... I just heard the Gephart clip from the Sunday talk show about the recovery being attributed to the "democRAT part" of the tax cut going to the middle class on Rush's show (1 hr delay in Austin).

What a goofy comment. That part of the tax cut has as much to do with the recovery as a dead tree falling in the forest with no one around to see it fall.

One thing about their party: They use a jack@SS for their symbol and have a RAT in their name.

46 posted on 11/06/2003 11:23:20 AM PST by Arrowhead1952 (Laura Ingraham and Ann Coulter are living proof that not all blondes are dumb.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: sourcery
economic/market threads, please.
47 posted on 11/06/2003 11:42:33 AM PST by adam_az
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]

To: MJY1288
Not only did dizzy dean admit to drunken-ness but to petty theft as well. Seems his son didn't fall far from the tree.
48 posted on 11/06/2003 11:44:06 AM PST by OldFriend (DEMS INHABIT A PARALLEL UNIVERSE)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: adam_az
done
49 posted on 11/06/2003 11:44:50 AM PST by harpseal (stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies]

To: Pikamax
for later
50 posted on 11/06/2003 12:04:29 PM PST by jern
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: areafiftyone
bump
51 posted on 11/06/2003 12:21:09 PM PST by Steve0113
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: areafiftyone
C'mon guys. They're chuckleheads alright, but let's don't even play like we're serious about the jumper thing, okay? There was enough of that on September 11 and it wasn't funny then.

52 posted on 11/06/2003 12:25:49 PM PST by Arizona Pard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Arizona Pard
It was all in fun but I understand where you are coming from. Sorry if the remarks about jumping offended anyone. :-(
53 posted on 11/06/2003 12:30:57 PM PST by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 52 | View Replies]

To: areafiftyone
It is indeed pathetic that the Democrats need our country to faulter or fail, for them to succeed.
54 posted on 11/06/2003 2:08:14 PM PST by Michael.SF. ("I always make it a point to eat what I kill." - John Kerry, Vietnam vet.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Michael.SF.
Socialist cannot win on facts. They can only win through intimidation.
55 posted on 11/06/2003 4:12:50 PM PST by MonroeDNA (Please become a monthly donor!!! Just $3 a month--you won't miss it, and will feel proud!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 54 | View Replies]

To: MonroeDNA
Socialist cannot win on facts. They can only win through intimidation.

and deception.

56 posted on 11/06/2003 7:16:27 PM PST by Michael.SF. ("I always make it a point to eat what I kill." - John Kerry, Vietnam vet.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 55 | View Replies]

To: BureaucratusMaximus
You forgot to mention the need for a line item veto for the budget
57 posted on 11/06/2003 7:24:12 PM PST by Henchman (I Hench, therefore I am!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: areafiftyone
BUY YOUR DREAM HOME NOW! 10-YEAR YIELDS WILL BE AT 5% WITHIN 2 WEEKS!
58 posted on 11/06/2003 8:26:57 PM PST by montag813 (Fire Tenet...Jail Joseph Wilson...Rally 'Round Our President, Dammit!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Michael.SF.
"...and deception."

And by defiling each and every morally superior American tradition! I see absolutely no difference between them and the Palistinians who have twice defiled the tomb of Joseph, son of Jacob and greatest administrator in the history of Egypt!!!

59 posted on 11/06/2003 8:29:42 PM PST by SierraWasp (Multi-Level Government is more ABSURD than Multi-Level Marketing! The pyramid's upside down!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 56 | View Replies]

To: Grampa Dave; Lazamataz; budwiesest; eldoradude
I knew I'd find you on this thread with my second favorite cartoon!!!

I wish you'da posted that one of the Dumbocraps suckin gas outa the Bush economic machine layin rubber with a 7.2% jump in GDP and an 8% jump in productivity for Q-3 of 2003!!!

I still literally LMAO virtually every time you post it!!! I laugh so hard I almost start PIMP!!! The look on that Jacka$$es face with that siphon hose clenched in his teeth... Ha Ha Ha!!! (more funny than we should be allowed to see!)

60 posted on 11/06/2003 8:37:12 PM PST by SierraWasp (Multi-Level Government is more ABSURD than Multi-Level Marketing! The pyramid's upside down!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-64 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson