Posted on 10/02/2020 8:04:03 AM PDT by Zenyatta
Learn the difference between IFR and CFR.
2.83% is the CFR.
0.1% is the IFR.
As an example - my wife and I had COVID-19. My three children most likely had it but we did not torture them with the brain poking swab. They are not recorded in the official stats and as such are part of the IFR caseloads that do not get recorded in the denominator for COVID-19 official CFR.
I believe it means 94.6% of those 70+ who contract it, survive.
That’s what I think......unless one has preexisting conditions that may change the percentage. I think our President is in great shape and pray to God he gets over this in record time.......
Sorry Karen.
I’m also at that bottom level and have a pre-existing condition, but I don’t worry about it...I feel pretty confident my wife and I are both being fairly cautious with where we go and what we do...
Boris Johnson returned to work in a month, and he spent 3 days in the ICU. I suspect Trump will return in 10-14 days.
For some of that crew in the video "queen" is literal, not figurative.
.
Evil always tips its hand sooner or later.
“...Why do you guys keep quoting a 99% survival rate?...”
See post #6, then ask the CDC why THEY keep quoting a 99% survival rate....
Or JFK’s various ailments.
Or LBJ and his gall bladder. Or Ike and his heart problems.
“...Does that mean 5.4% (or roughly 15 million of 300 million population) die from the virus or contract it?...”
I seriously doubt that there are 300 million Americans over 70 years of age....(Or are you using Joe Biden math?)
“”The president with a head cold is the worst crisis we he faced?””
.
PDJT should do a video remote in about a week showing him healthy and robust holding a box of hydroxychloroquine and a bottle of chelated zinc, talking about how he is feeling great and it only cost $26.00.
Big pharma troll!
.
Funny. See corrected post #13 if you are not joking.
OK...Is that 6-7 million meaning the number of people over 70 years of age???
And is the number 30 supposed to be 300???
I guesstimated the average for all age groups.
2% of the entire population of U.S (300 million) would be around 6 million people.
“And is the number 30 supposed to be 300???”
Not seeing where you saw 30?
I’m very familiar with the difference between IFR and CFR. That said, no-one knows the real IFR, because (as you stated), IFR includes people who have not been tested but are assumed/thought/guessed to be sick - which is all but meaningless as those assumptions may be close to accurate or on the other hand, woefully inaccurate.
What matters to me is the # dead in the universe of confirmed cases. There’s no denying (based simply on the raw data) that the *C*FR is > 2.8%.
That said, and as I mentioned earlier, it’s not just death that is an issue - 30+% of asymptomatic and symptomatic cases are reported to be having major lingering health issues, like the 30 year old “perfectly healthy” rock climber I mentioned who now can’t even walk half a block because her heart rate randomly jumps to ~180 just sitting. And many of them are quite serious / debilitating - possibly for the rest of the unfortunate person who contracted COVID’s lifetime. It seems that aspect of things gets “downplayed” and/or ignored way too much.
Forgot to average all of the cases that would lower the overall figure to somewhere around 6-7? million and not 30.
13 posted on 10/2/2020, 11:29:39 AM by Leep
I see now...30 Million was what i originally said but then i amended its because it didn’t include all ages.
In which case the average would be lower but still in the millions.
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