Posted on 10/21/2018 1:46:47 PM PDT by Sir Napsalot
Who is this Steponyourpopelpuss person.
of course then you have the polls that are heavily slanted to the democrats..
What is the point of political polls?
The current RCP prediction for the House is 205 D 199 R and 31 toss ups. Many of the toss ups races are R districts that haven’t seen a poll for over a month. My own chart has 206 D and 208 R with 21 toss ups. Of the 21 toss ups, 16 of them are likely to go R based on 2016 congressional results and their Trump results in 2016. These districts are going to vote the same way that they voted in 2016 unless their has been an abnormal event in that district. The current RCP numbers reflect the Blue Wave fairy tale.
The Democrats are very worried right now and for good reason. The lazy media are going to continue feed us the RCP gruel because they are too lazy to do anything else and they like the narrative. It is not correct.
Very good analysis....
so tell me how you believe in the full of crap dem propagandist, Charlie Cook.
Like you said, we carry 75 to 80% of the RCP tossups.
I feel the deep state will execute multiple mass shootings, probably surrounding Halloween.
That explains the Democrat caravan. They want illegals to turn out for Beto.
Everything I know about observing politics and elections, I learned from Charlie Cook. I stopped betting with him years ago because he is much better at it than you could imagine. I’ve know him for over 50 years, the accounts of him on this forum are wildly exaggerated.
I am feeling more optimistic every day.
Timing very suspicious. As soon as Democrats realized the blue wave is not happening, this caravan pops up. It’s a last ditch effort. They will try to create an incident at the border. Look for help from US citizens also.
Hallelujah, everybody’s going to thank (whoever their deity is) for that.
You would think after Feinstein/Christine Blasey Ford debacle, Dems learn a thing or two. [Don’t count on it, though.]
If you believe in putz Charlie Cook, you shouldn’t be optimistic at all.
You should be outright depressed.
Take a look at his 2016 House results. Very much like 30 years worth results, pretty damn good. Did he get it wrong in 2016 on the Presidential race. Of course he did. No one in Washington had a clue what was going on in fly over country.
No, but Trump is going to turn it around on the Democrats. As he puts the troops on the border, he’s going to pound the democrats for failing to keep the country safe and fix the immigration problem thereby causing Trump to fulfill his #1 responsibility as CINC; protecting the country from an invasion. Oh, there will be the usual hue and cry from all the usual suspects...probably get a few Hollywood libs at the border handing out bottled water...but it won’t matter. Trump will bury their nose in it.
Sorry Dems, but you blew your load with Kavanaugh!
Natie, the October surprise is here already and it’s the Hispanic Shift which puts every Democrat in a district with more than 15% Hispanics in danger.
Since his rise to prominence in 2012, he was wrong about 2014 midterms, wrong about Brexit in 2015, and wrong about 2016 (and even wrote an article about it). If he were a professional handicapper (or even a broker or investment banker), he would have lost credibility at this point.
I still have 54 over/under for the GOP in the senate and a loss of 17 in the house as an over/under. I bet I come closer than this guy.
As far as data goes, you are correct. I am consultant by trade and if I gave out such bad advice to my clients, I would lose them as clients.
Thanks for the intel, Centurion. Like the result you’re finding.
Wallace is completely useless. How are these women and children traveling hundreds of miles?
Yep - and with the well-organized caravan MOB heading our way, we ought to be fully pissed and motivated to get out...
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