Posted on 09/30/2016 12:32:18 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Pennsylvania is definitely in play for this year’s presidential election. That’s obvious from Donald Trump’s impromptu Geno’s cheesesteak run and the Pennsylvania visits from the Obamas and numerous celebrities for Hillary Clinton. The polls show it too: A once double-digit lead for Hillary Clinton now down to 2.4 percentage points, according to the Real Clear Politics average.
That Pennsylvania will likely be close this year is no surprise. Aside from 2008, Pennsylvania has routinely had one of the tightest races of any state in the last several elections. What’s surprising this year is how it’s in play. In this cray election year, many types of voters across Pennsylvania are breaking away from the party they’ve tended to favor in recent years. Terry Madonna, a pollster at Franklin and Marshall who has followed Pennsylvania elections for decades, says these changes defy what we tend to think about Pennsylvania voters.
The differences particularly became clear in a CNN Poll from earlier this week, which showed Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by two percentage points among likely voters. The poll broke down candidate choice based on race, income level, educational attainment and gender....
(Excerpt) Read more at billypenn.com ...
Trump has PA... if you think otherwise you aren’t paying attention:
2008 O: 3.3M votes McC: 2.65 M Votes
2012 O: 3.0M votes Rom: 2.68 M Votes.
Republicans can put 2.7M votes in the box with no enthusiasm and crappy candidates... Hillary doesn’t have nearly the support of O in 08, and ZERO enthusiasm. Trump has more enthusiasm for an R than I have ever seen for an R in PA in 30 years of living her. I fully expect Trump to put at least 3M votes in the box, I don’t think Hillary can manage more than 2.5-6M on her best day.
Not only wills he take PA, but it won’t be that close.
Just heard the witch is leading by 7 in NY.
Just 7
I have posted today that this morning’s drive in Southern NY was wall to wall Trump bumperstickers!
I was a Trumpster giving each one a flash of my high beams. (Geek)
WOW, maybe, just maybe......
Its NYC that kills our vote in NY.
I live upstate and were we can shoot at home.
LOL
There are just SO many people in the city.
WOW, maybe!
I hope you’re right. I live in the Philly Burbs and the town I’ve lived in for 20 years has gone from solid republican to democrat in that time. Many New York and New Jersey libs reside here now. Believe me. It’s not like it was when I moved in at all.
There is no doubt big numbers out of Philly are how D’s win PA... get big enough numbers, the rest of the state can’t counter it.. but I can’t find any innate support of Hillary ANYWHERE, even in majorly democratic hotbeds... there is no support or enthusiasm, just a “well he’s not trump” sort of argument.. and that ain’t going to get it done.
As I said, I expect Trump to put at least 3M votes in the box... I don’t see HIllary getting over 2.5/6M on her best day. She’ll certainly win the Philly area, but not remotely by the margins needed to carry the state.
>>> She’ll certainly win the Philly area, but not remotely by the margins needed to carry the state.
I hope you are right.
At least they can’t cheat as convincingly as before. And those African Americans (15%, best guess) voted for Trump won’t be as tame and silent as before.
Sorry, I went back and checked the article.
Wealthy and poor was defined as voters making 50 k a year.
I think it is the CNN definition, and the author just analyzed the result.
Some of us good people do still live here....
Here is my poll as a Pennsylvanian. Having driven through parts of 5 counties in the past 4 weeks I have seen many (but not a huge number) of Trump lawn signs or stickers on cars. I saw 1 (yes 1) Hillary yard sign for hr and 1 Hillary for Prison yard sign. I have seen 3 stickers on cars. Now either people are ashamed that they plan to vote for a lying, corrupt, sack of crap criminal or not many in those counties support Hillary.
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