How will he win on the 2nd if he can’t win on the first?
Kasich has a better change on the 2nd.
Why would the GOPe deny Trump and then on the 2nd ballot give it to Cruz? They don’t like Cruz either.
If they can deny Trump on the 1st, they can deny Cruz after the first and go with their preferred selectee.
So you have no idea what is going on pre-convention?
I don't think that there will be 1287 or more delegates loyal to the GOPe at the convention. It will either be Trump or Cruz if it goes more than one round.
“How will he win on the 2nd if he can’t win on the first?...
... Why would the GOPe deny Trump and then on the 2nd ballot give it to Cruz?...”
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You just don’t get it. The majority of the delegates at the convention will NOT BE GOPe loyalists, but will instead be anti-Establishment types selected from Cruz (and hopefully Trump) loyalists. Before that convention selects a GOPe puppet as the nominee, they’d first dig up Rin-Tin-Tin and nominate him.