“If Trump wins Ohio and Florida (165 delegates), he’ll still need to win 48 percent of the remaining delegates, and to date he’s won only 44 percent of them. Winning Florida helps Trump, yes, but not all that much, and not nearly as much as winning four of the other March 15 states would help him. This fact is why the Florida focus is so short-sighted.”
Sounds reasonable to me! Still don’t understand why President Romney isn’t running for reelection. ;-)
“If Trump wins Ohio and Florida (165 delegates), he’ll still need to win 48 percent of the remaining delegates, and to date he’s won only 44 percent of them. . . .”
The author is comparing past results in proportional delegate states with possible results in predominantly winner take all (as I understand it) delegate states. Apples and oranges perhaps. With more winner take all it becomes a bit more possible to do better than the 44% rate from the past.
I have not done a state by state analysis, but I think the author may be making a slight of hand analysis here that is wishful thinking on his part.